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This week the Federal Reserve held its key policy rate steady at 4.25%-4.5% and the so-called ‘dot plot’ (the best guess forward projections of Federal Open Market Committee members) continued to show two cuts were expected this calendar year. One might assume, given the lack of change in either the policy rate or the immediate […] 

The rise of social media is one of the big stories of the twenty-first century. Facebook may only be 21 years old, but, according to a Pew Research study of 2024, more than two-thirds of Americans now use it. YouTube has an even larger footprint, with 83% of American adults using the platform to consume […] 

This US survey examines (a) The potential for consumers to be harmed by digital platforms’ use of their personal data is sufficient that they would benefit from laws assigning them some kind of default control rights over their data; (b) The risks of harm from use of social media services - such as harm to mental health, exploitation of children, and more - are now high enough that society would benefit from federal regulations setting safety standards and creating a process of compensation for harm by digital platforms 

For more than a decade, the European Union’s policymakers have been aiming to create a deeper pan-European capital market. In recent years, those efforts have acquired more urgency. As the think tank Bruegel recently set out: Initially, the focus was on integrating and developing national capital markets to complement bank lending and enhance risk diversification, […] 

This Finance survey examines (a) The recent downgrade of the U.S. sovereign credit rating reflects a measurable probability that an investor in U.S. Treasury securities would not be paid in full in nominal terms 

This European survey examines (a) Creating a ‘28th regime’ - an optional, EU-wide code of corporate, securities and insolvency law that firms could adopt and which would pre-empt the application of any of the 27 national rulebooks - would be substantially more effective in building a European capital market than continuing efforts to achieve harmonisation of the national rulebooks; (b) Creating the 28th regime would substantially increase the supply of capital to new ventures and growing businesses; (c) A well-functioning and efficient single EU capital market requires a strengthened European Securities and Markets Authority, comparable to the US Securities and Exchange Commission, to operate as a single market regulator 

Two weeks ago, on the evening of May 16th, Moody’s (one of the three credit rating agencies) downgraded the sovereign debt of the United States. The credit rating was trimmed back from the top Aaa to Aa1, one notch below. Moody’s reasoning, which they set out at length, was relatively straightforward: for more than a […] 

This US survey examines (a) Long-run US fiscal sustainability will require some combination of slowing the growth of spending on Medicare, Medicaid and Social Security benefits and/or tax increases, including higher taxes on households with incomes below $400,000; (b) Issuing an additional $2.3 trillion of debt over the next 10 years, as is projected by the Congressional Budget Office if the House Reconciliation Bill is enacted, will substantially raise interest rates on government debt over that period 

The Network of Central Banks and Supervisors for Greening the Financial System (NGFS), a grouping of central banks and financial regulators, was formed in 2017 and now boasts more than 60 members ranging from large global players such as the European Central Bank, the People’s Bank of China, and the Bank of Japan to relative […]