This Finance survey examines: If an AI-driven services productivity boom materializes over the next five years, it will substantially reduce current stock market valuations for firms with a large percentage of white-collar employees
Keyword: financial crises
a la carte pricing abortion access to credit acquisitions active investing Adam Smith advertising affordability Affordable Care Act Africa agglomeration aging airline industry Alaska alternative investments amateurism Amazon American Recovery and Reinvestment Act American Rescue Plan anti-competitive behavior antitrust Argentina artificial intelligence arts asset allocation asset classes asset management asset pricing asset purchases asset returns asset valuation assets AT&T auctions austerity automatic enrollment automation automobile industry autonomous cars
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data data protection debt debt brake debt ceiling debt obligations debt relief debt support debt sustainability debt-to-GDP ratio decarbonisation default defaults defense defense economics defense spending deflation DEI democracy democratic legitimacy Department of Education dependency ratio deposit insurance derivatives destination-based cash flow tax destintation-based cash flow tax Detroit devaluation developing countries developing economies development development assistance development economics digital currency digital economy digital euro digital infrastructure digital markets Digital Markets Act digital money digital platforms digital service providers digital services Digital Services Act digital tokens discount rates discrimination disease diseases disruption distributional effects diversification diversity dollar dollarization dominant firms doom loops drought drug prices drug use duration dutch disease dynamic scoring
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Facebook faculty pay fairness family size Fannie Mae fast-track authority FDIC Federal Economic Statistics Advisory Council federal regulation federal regulations Federal Reserve fee caps fee transparency fees fiat currency fiduciary duty financial crises financial crisis financial markets financial performance financial policy financial regulation financial regulations bank runs financial services financial stability finished good prices firm capabilities firm finances firm location first past the post fiscal benefits fiscal cliff fiscal councils fiscal deficit fiscal deficits fiscal dominance fiscal policy fiscal rules fiscal stimulus fiscal sustainability floods food prices food security forecasting foreign aid foreign direct investment foreign investment fossil fuels fracking France Freddie Mac free float free markets free movement free trade full capacity fund performance fundamental value fungibility
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ideas illegal activities immigrant visas immigration import duties import restrictions imports impossibility theorem incentives inclusion income inequality income support income tax increasing returns to scale incumbents independent regulatory agencies index funds indexing industrial polic industrial policy Industrial Revolution inequality inflation inflation expectations inflation target inflation-indexed bonds inflation-linked bonds information infrastructure innovation input prices inside information insider trading Instagram institutional investors institutions insurance insurance premiums Intel intellectual property interdependence interest rate caps interest rates interest-bearing assets intergenerational mobility intermediate goods intermediation international agreements International Energy Agency international monetary system internet internet: profits investment investment grade investment management investment policy investment portfolio investment returns invisible hand IPOs Iran Ireland Italy
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labor force participation labor income labor market labor market flexibility labor markets labor productivity labor regulations labor statistics labor supply labour force Laffer curve laissez-faire land use land value tax landlords law and economics legacy preference legal liability legalisation legislative proposals lender of last resort leverage liabilities liberal democracy licensing life expectancy life outcomes liquefied natural gas liquidity listings listings securities exchanges living standard living standards llong-term borrowing loan relief loans lobbying local government lockdowns London long-term borrowing lotteries low-carbon technologies low-income low-income households low-skill workers LTCM Luxembourg
macroeconomic stability macroprudential policy Maine majority rule management practices mandated disclosures manufacturing marginal tax rates marijuana mark to market market anomalies market cap market concentration market dominance market efficiency market indices market intervention market microstructure market power market quality market value market volatility maturity transformation maximum sustainable employment Medicaid medical debt medical research Medicare medium of exchange mega-banks mental health merger rules mergers mergers & acquisitions mergers and acquisitions Mexico Microsoft migration minimum retirement age minimum wage minimum wage|labor market|low-skill workers|unemployment|productivity||||| mismeasurement mobility Modern Monetary Theory monetary policy monetary system money creation money market funds monopsony power moral hazard mortality mortgage-backed securities mortgages museums music events mutual funds
NAFTA Nasdaq Nash equilibrium National Academy of Sciences national debt National Science Foundation national security natural disasters natural gas natural resources net neutrality net zero Netherlands network externalities new entry New York Nippon Steel Nobel Prize Nobel Prize in Economic Sciences Nobel Prize in Economics non-bank financial intermediaries non-compete clauses non-tariff barriers Northern Ireland Norway nudge policies
OASI trust fund obesity occupational choice occupational licensing offshore accounts offshoring oil oil prices Omicron online sales online sales tax open economies order execution output gap outsourcing overheating
panics Paris agreement passive investing patent trolls patents payday lending payment services payments system payroll taxes peace peer review Pell grants penalties pension funds pensions personal data personal debt personal finance petrol pharmaceutical industry physical infrastructure physical risks pied-à-terre tax platforms policy advice policy entrepreneurs political appointments political economy pollution populism portfolio allocation portfolio diversification portfolio investment portfolio management portfolio theory Portugal poverty poverty reduction pre-school education prediction markets prescription drugs President Biden President Obama President Trump price cap price caps price controls price gouging primary voting privacy private credit private credit funds private equity private firms private funds private schools privatization product quality production production capacity productivity productivity growth professional sports teams profitability profits prohibition property rights property taxes prosperity protectionism proxy advisory firms proxy voting psychology public budget public corporations public debt public finances public goods public health public investment public ownership public policy public procurement public revenues public schools public spending public transport public utilities publishers Puerto Rico purchasing power
R&D R&D spillovers race radiospectrum random audits randomized control trials ranked-choice voting rationality real estate real wages recession reciprocal tariffs reconstruction recovery redemptions redistribution referendum refugees regressive tax regulation regulations remuneration renewable energy renewables renminbi rent control rent freezes rent-seeking repatriated profits research reserve currency resilience resource allocation retail retail investors retaliatory tariffs retirees retirement retirement age retirement benefits return on investment returns returns to education ride-sharing ride-sharing caps risk management risk premia risk-return risk-taking robots rule of law rules runs Russia
safe assets safety sales tax San Francisco sanctions savings school students school vouchers schools Science scientists Scotland Scottish independence SEC second homes secondary markets Section 230 sectoral policies Securities and Exchange Commission security security screening self-control semiconductors services services sector shareholder activism shareholder value shareholders shares shipping short selling single market single-family homes skills slavery small firms smartphones soccer social benefits social cohesion social cost of carbon social costs social integration social justice social media social mobility social norms social problems social programs Social Security social welfare social/public housing socialism sociial welfare soft drinks software industry solar energy solvency sovereign bonds sovereign debt sovereign wealth funds soverign bonds Spain speculation sports Stability and Growth Pact stablecoins stagflation stakeholders standardized tests start-ups state aid state assets state budgets statistical agencies statistics steel steel industry steel tariffs sterling stock buybacks stock market stock prices stock returns store of value strategic autonomy strategic behavior strategic independence strategic oil reserves Strategic Petroleum Reserve strategic planning strategic sectors stress tests student loans students subsidies sugar sugar tax Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program supplementary leverage ratio supply chain supply chains Supreme Court surge pricing surveys sustainability sustained growth systemic risk
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This Finance survey examines: The proposed reduction in the enhanced supplementary leverage ratio (SLR) for U.S. banks, without offsetting changes to other capital or liquidity requirements, would not substantially increase systemic risk in the U.S. banking system
This Finance survey examines: If the White House exerts more direct influence over the decisions of the financial regulatory agencies, that would substantially enhance financial stability
This Finance survey examines: (a) September 2023 was the 25th anniversary of the collapse of Long-Term Capital Management (LTCM). In response to LTCM's troubles, the Federal Reserve orchestrated a multi-billion dollar rescue package by a consortium of banks and it cut the Federal funds rate target by 75 basis points within six weeks. The hedge fund sector's contribution to systemic risk is substantially lower today than at the time of LTCM; (b) Financial market participants' expectation that the Fed will aggressively ease monetary policy in response to financial market dislocations is a substantial source of financial instability.
This European survey examines (a) The response to recent bank failures should be to: Expand central banks’ lender of last resort facilities for banks; (b) The response to recent bank failures should be to: Substantially increase the limit on bank deposit insurance; (c) The response to recent bank failures should be to: Substantially increase bank capital requirements; (d) The response to recent bank failures should be to: Use market values of all traded assets to compute banks’ regulatory capital
This US survey examines (a) The response to recent bank failures should be to: Expand central banks’ lender of last resort facilities for banks; (b) The response to recent bank failures should be to: Substantially increase the limit on bank deposit insurance; (c) The response to recent bank failures should be to: Substantially increase bank capital requirements; (d) The response to recent bank failures should be to: Use market values of all traded assets to compute banks’ regulatory capital
This European survey examines (a) Debt sustainability analysis – for example, as practiced currently by the International Monetary Fund – substantially improves the ability to predict future sovereign debt crises; (b) The European Commission’s proposed move from the existing EU fiscal rules to ones based on debt sustainability analysis would be a measurable improvement; (c) A move from the existing fiscal rules to independent fiscal councils would be more effective than a move to rules based on debt sustainability.
This US survey examines (a) Debt sustainability analysis – for example, as practiced currently by the International Monetary Fund – substantially improves the ability to predict future sovereign debt crises; (b) The European Commission’s proposed move from the existing EU fiscal rules to ones based on debt sustainability analysis would be a measurable improvement; (c) A move from the existing fiscal rules to independent fiscal councils would be more effective than a move to rules based on debt sustainability.
This Finance survey examines (a) Financial regulators in the US and Europe lack the tools and authority to deter runs on banks by uninsured depositors; (b) Not guaranteeing uninsured deposits at Silicon Valley Bank in full would have created substantial damage to the US economy; (c) Fully guaranteeing uninsured deposits at Silicon Valley Bank substantially increases banks’ incentives to engage in excessive risk-taking
This European survey examines (a) Financial regulators in the US and Europe lack the tools and authority to deter runs on banks by uninsured depositors; (b) Not guaranteeing uninsured deposits at Silicon Valley Bank in full would have created substantial damage to the US economy; (c) Fully guaranteeing uninsured deposits at Silicon Valley Bank substantially increases banks’ incentives to engage in excessive risk-taking
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