Clark Center Forum

Throughout the second half of 2024 and for much of 2025, whenever global investors were surveyed on the biggest risks to asset prices, ‘geopolitics’ tended to come towards the top of the list.  The first two weeks of 2026 have seen a US intervention in Venezuela, mass protests and threats of foreign intervention in Iran, […] 

 

This European survey examines (a) The US intervention in Venezuela will have no measurable impact on the world oil price over the next 12 months; (b) The US intervention will lead to a substantial increase in the profitability of US energy companies over the next five years; (c) The US intervention will lead to a substantial increase in economic growth in Venezuela over the next five years 

Over the past two months, alongside the regular coverage of the Clark Center’s polls and other news, On Global Markets has been reporting on the discussions held at the Economic Experts Conference 9/10 October. Most of those sessions were held under the Chatham House Rule. The development of artificial intelligence (AI), in its various guises, […] 

The regulation of Big Tech, the internet, and digital markets in general is a realm of transatlantic diversion. The last decade has seen the European Union (EU) press ahead with its General Data Protection Regulation (GDPR) – which brought about strict laws on data handling – and enact the Digital Markets Act, which designated some […] 

This European survey examines (a) The potential for consumer privacy to be compromised by digital platforms’ use of personal data is sufficient to justify regulations that assign consumers some kind of default control rights over their data; b) To date, EU efforts to regulate use of personal data - primarily the General Data Protection Regulation, GDPR - have been largely ineffective at protecting consumers; b) To date, EU efforts to regulate use of personal data - primarily GDPR - have imposed substantial costs on European businesses, slowing innovation and growth 

The proposed Trump Accounts (https://trumpaccounts.gov/) will provide an initial savings deposit of $1,000 from the US Treasury to eligible children born between 2025 and 2028, and allow up to $5,000 a year in additional private contributions; (a) The proposed Trump Accounts will substantially improve long-term wealth accumulation; (b) The proposed Trump Accounts will substantially reduce income inequality among future generations (c) The proposed Trump Accounts will substantially increase support for free-market capitalism over socialism 

Over the coming few weeks, alongside the regular coverage of the Clark Center’s polls and other news, On Global Markets will be reporting on the discussions held at the Economic Experts Conference 9/10 October. Most of those sessions were held under the Chatham House Rule.  Big Tech is of increasing importance to the American economy. […] 

This US survey examines: There are reports that the US strategy in negotiations to end the Russia-Ukraine conflict is prioritizing economic interdependence: https://www.wsj.com/world/russia/russia-u-s-peace-business-ties-4db9b290; (a) Creating expanded mutual business opportunities for American, Russian, and Ukrainian firms would lead to a substantially more stable peace agreement (b) Pursuing economic interdependence without complementary diplomacy (including credible guarantees of Ukraine’s future security) is unlikely to end the conflict and subsequently preserve peace 

This installment of the FTxBooth US Macroeconomists Survey discusses economists’ thoughts regarding the December 2025 FOMC meeting and the likelihood of an interest rate cut. The summary results are below and you can read the Financial Times article here, subscription required. View the results of this survey>> For social media: Please use the hashtag #FTxBooth […]