Scientists and Innovation

New funding and immigration schemes to attract top scientific talent from abroad to EU universities would have a measurable impact on European innovation over a five year horizon.

Responses weighted by each expert's confidence

Participant University Vote Confidence Bio/Vote History
Allen
Franklin Allen
Imperial College London
Uncertain
4
Bio/Vote History
I think it depends on the level of funding available. European academic salaries are significantly behind US academic salaries. For scientists and engineers there is also the issue of labs and hiring the rest of the teams.
Antras
Pol Antras
Harvard
Agree
6
Bio/Vote History
Blanchard
Olivier Blanchard
Peterson Institute
Agree
7
Bio/Vote History
obviously depends on the funds the countries will be willing to spend. Not obvious that it will be enough
Blundell
Richard William Blundell
University College London
Agree
4
Bio/Vote History
Botticini
Maristella Botticini
Bocconi
Strongly Agree
9
Bio/Vote History
Bénassy-Quéré
Agnès Bénassy-Quéré
Paris School of Economics
Agree
5
Bio/Vote History
Carletti
Elena Carletti
Bocconi
Agree
7
Bio/Vote History
Danthine
Jean-Pierre Danthine
Paris School of Economics
Uncertain
7
Bio/Vote History
Clearly would depend on the volume of the initiative, the 5 year horizon seems short for a measurable impact.
De Grauwe
Paul De Grauwe
LSE
Uncertain
6
Bio/Vote History
Eeckhout
Jan Eeckhout
UPF Barcelona
Agree
9
Bio/Vote History
Freixas
Xavier Freixas
Barcelona GSE
Strongly Agree
5
Bio/Vote History
Fuchs-Schündeln
Nicola Fuchs-Schündeln
Goethe-Universität Frankfurt
Agree
7
Bio/Vote History
Galí
Jordi Galí
Barcelona GSE
Uncertain
6
Bio/Vote History
Garicano
Luis Garicano
LSE Did Not Answer Bio/Vote History
Gorodnichenko
Yuriy Gorodnichenko
Berkeley
Strongly Agree
9
Bio/Vote History
Griffith
Rachel Griffith
University of Manchester
Strongly Agree
9
Bio/Vote History
Guerrieri
Veronica Guerrieri
Chicago Booth
Agree
3
Bio/Vote History
Guiso
Luigi Guiso
Einaudi Institute for Economics and Finance Did Not Answer Bio/Vote History
Guriev
Sergei Guriev
London Business School
Strongly Agree
8
Bio/Vote History
Honohan
Patrick Honohan
Trinity College Dublin
Agree
1
Bio/Vote History
It's a rare opportunity.
Javorcik
Beata Javorcik
University of Oxford
Uncertain
1
Bio/Vote History
Krahnen
Jan Pieter Krahnen
Goethe University Frankfurt
Agree
5
Bio/Vote History
I agree, but for a different reason. A better performance of researchers in Europe may follow from more intensive collaboration of EU and US researchers - irrespective of whether there is migration or not. There will be more funds available in Europe, also from US sources.
Kőszegi
Botond Kőszegi
Central European University Did Not Answer Bio/Vote History
La Ferrara
Eliana La Ferrara
Harvard Kennedy
Agree
5
Bio/Vote History
Leuz
Christian Leuz
Chicago Booth
Agree
3
Bio/Vote History
I agree directionally w/statement but not sure how big the effect will be over 5 yrs. This is a short period for science & scientific discoveries to become innovations. Attracting top talent requires not just funding and visas but also improving European research environments.
Mayer
Thierry Mayer
Sciences-Po
Strongly Agree
9
Bio/Vote History
It seems to be the ideal time for a coordinated initiative at the European level to design a scheme aimed at selecting promising young scientists and give them funding for moving to Europe . Could be coordinated by ERC (which also includes UK, Switzerland and many others).
Meghir
Costas Meghir
Yale
Strongly Agree
10
Bio/Vote History
Pagano
Marco Pagano
Università di Napoli Federico II
Strongly Agree
10
Bio/Vote History
Pastor
Lubos Pastor
Chicago Booth
Strongly Agree
4
Bio/Vote History
Portes
Richard Portes
London Business School
Agree
7
Bio/Vote History
Prendergast
Canice Prendergast
Chicago Booth
Uncertain
4
Bio/Vote History
Propper
Carol Propper
Imperial College London
Agree
6
Bio/Vote History
Rasul
Imran Rasul
University College London
Agree
8
Bio/Vote History
Reichlin
Lucrezia Reichlin
London Business School
Agree
4
Bio/Vote History
Reis
Ricardo Reis
London School of Economics
Agree
8
Bio/Vote History
Yes, but those are necessary, not sufficient.
Repullo
Rafael Repullo
CEMFI
Agree
8
Bio/Vote History
Rey
Hélène Rey
London Business School
Agree
7
Bio/Vote History
historical precedent of emigration of scientists form nazi Germany to the US
Schoar
Antoinette Schoar
MIT Did Not Answer Bio/Vote History
Storesletten
Kjetil Storesletten
University of Minnesota
Agree
5
Bio/Vote History
Sturm
Daniel Sturm
London School of Economics
Strongly Agree
6
Bio/Vote History
Tenreyro
Silvana Tenreyro
LSE
Agree
5
Bio/Vote History
Van der Ploeg
Rick Van der Ploeg
Oxford
Strongly Agree
7
Bio/Vote History
Vickers
John Vickers
Oxford
Agree
5
Bio/Vote History
Voth
Hans-Joachim Voth
University of Zurich
Agree
7
Bio/Vote History
Whelan
Karl Whelan
University College Dublin
Disagree
7
Bio/Vote History
Economists' understanding of the innovation process is limited. Successful translation of scientific work into economic impact is a complex process, requiring lots of infrastructure and expertise that is not in place in Europe. It may take a lot longer than 5 years.
Wyplosz
Charles Wyplosz
The Graduate Institute Geneva
Agree
3
Bio/Vote History
Maybe yes, but not all countries will be able attract top talent from the US.