Drug Policy

A legalized and carefully regulated market for cannabis would lead to measurably higher social welfare than a system of prohibition.

Responses weighted by each expert's confidence

Participant University Vote Confidence Bio/Vote History
Allen
Franklin Allen
Imperial College London
Agree
5
Bio/Vote History
Drug prohibition doesn't seem to work very well with many people dying across the world in demand supply places. But there are also problems if the place legalising becomes the object of drug tourism or migration. There is also the issue that opioids are incredibly addictive.
Antras
Pol Antras
Harvard
Agree
8
Bio/Vote History
There would certainly be losers, and they wouldn’t be compensated in a Hicks-Kaldor sense, but social welfare would almost surely be higher according to most social welfare functions.
Blanchard
Olivier Blanchard
Peterson Institute
Uncertain
4
Bio/Vote History
the issue is whether increased use of cannabis would increase the demand for harder drugs.
Blundell
Richard William Blundell
University College London
Agree
6
Bio/Vote History
Botticini
Maristella Botticini
Bocconi
Agree
8
Bio/Vote History
Bénassy-Quéré
Agnès Bénassy-Quéré
Paris School of Economics
Agree
7
Bio/Vote History
Carletti
Elena Carletti
Bocconi Did Not Answer Bio/Vote History
Danthine
Jean-Pierre Danthine
Paris School of Economics
Uncertain
1
Bio/Vote History
De Grauwe
Paul De Grauwe
LSE
Strongly Agree
8
Bio/Vote History
Eeckhout
Jan Eeckhout
UPF Barcelona
Agree
8
Bio/Vote History
Freixas
Xavier Freixas
Barcelona GSE Did Not Answer Bio/Vote History
Fuchs-Schündeln
Nicola Fuchs-Schündeln
Goethe-Universität Frankfurt
Uncertain
3
Bio/Vote History
Galí
Jordi Galí
Barcelona GSE
Agree
5
Bio/Vote History
Garicano
Luis Garicano
LSE
Strongly Agree
8
Bio/Vote History
Gorodnichenko
Yuriy Gorodnichenko
Berkeley
Agree
3
Bio/Vote History
Griffith
Rachel Griffith
University of Manchester
Agree
4
Bio/Vote History
Guerrieri
Veronica Guerrieri
Chicago Booth
Agree
3
Bio/Vote History
Guiso
Luigi Guiso
Einaudi Institute for Economics and Finance
Strongly Agree
7
Bio/Vote History
Guriev
Sergei Guriev
Sciences Po
Agree
8
Bio/Vote History
Honohan
Patrick Honohan
Trinity College Dublin
Uncertain
1
Bio/Vote History
Medical risks for some of cannabis are still much disputed. Economic benefits of decriminalisation of just this substance seem fairly small.
Javorcik
Beata Javorcik
University of Oxford
Agree
7
Bio/Vote History
Krahnen
Jan Pieter Krahnen
Goethe University Frankfurt
Agree
2
Bio/Vote History
Although I have my doubts about the "measurability" of welfare gain, but in my opinion one should be open for a change, try "legalization" out for a certain period, say 5 years, and then evaluate the effects - both in terms of benefits and social costs.
Kőszegi
Botond Kőszegi
Central European University
Strongly Agree
10
Bio/Vote History
La Ferrara
Eliana La Ferrara
Harvard Kennedy Did Not Answer Bio/Vote History
Leuz
Christian Leuz
Chicago Booth
Uncertain
3
Bio/Vote History
There are good economic arguments in favor of legalization & regulation. But a key question are the effects on use & health of youth and adolescents. For use, mixed evidence. For health, evidence is still developing. Hence, I am uncertain. See some sources below.
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Mayer
Thierry Mayer
Sciences-Po
Strongly Agree
8
Bio/Vote History
Meghir
Costas Meghir
Yale
Agree
9
Bio/Vote History
Pagano
Marco Pagano
Università di Napoli Federico II
Agree
2
Bio/Vote History
Pastor
Lubos Pastor
Chicago Booth
Uncertain
5
Bio/Vote History
Persson
Torsten Persson
Stockholm University Did Not Answer Bio/Vote History
Pissarides
Christopher Pissarides
London School of Economics and Political Science Did Not Answer Bio/Vote History
Portes
Richard Portes
London Business School
Strongly Agree
5
Bio/Vote History
Prendergast
Canice Prendergast
Chicago Booth
Agree
4
Bio/Vote History
Propper
Carol Propper
Imperial College London
Agree
3
Bio/Vote History
Rasul
Imran Rasul
University College London
Uncertain
8
Bio/Vote History
Reichlin
Lucrezia Reichlin
London Business School Did Not Answer Bio/Vote History
Reis
Ricardo Reis
London School of Economics
Agree
7
Bio/Vote History
Repullo
Rafael Repullo
CEMFI
Strongly Agree
4
Bio/Vote History
Rey
Hélène Rey
London Business School Did Not Answer Bio/Vote History
Schoar
Antoinette Schoar
MIT
Agree
8
Bio/Vote History
Storesletten
Kjetil Storesletten
University of Minnesota Did Not Answer Bio/Vote History
Sturm
Daniel Sturm
London School of Economics
Agree
6
Bio/Vote History
Tenreyro
Silvana Tenreyro
LSE
Agree
3
Bio/Vote History
Van Reenen
John Van Reenen
LSE
Agree
9
Bio/Vote History
Van der Ploeg
Rick Van der Ploeg
Oxford
Strongly Agree
8
Bio/Vote History
In the Netherlands coffee shops sell cannabis. However, strictly speaking it is illegal to do. The Dutch government tolerates it provided they do not sell hard drugs, engage in tax evasion etcetera. So it is allowed provided they behave.
Vickers
John Vickers
Oxford
Uncertain
3
Bio/Vote History
Regulation is always imperfect
Voth
Hans-Joachim Voth
University of Zurich
Agree
8
Bio/Vote History
Whelan
Karl Whelan
University College Dublin Did Not Answer Bio/Vote History
Wyplosz
Charles Wyplosz
The Graduate Institute Geneva
Strongly Agree
7
Bio/Vote History