Foreign Competition and Domestic Innovation

Strong competition from foreign producers is likely to encourage greater private sector expenditure on research and development in the home market.

Responses weighted by each expert's confidence

Participant University Vote Confidence Bio/Vote History
Allen
Franklin Allen
Imperial College London
Uncertain
5
Bio/Vote History
Difficult question where the answer depends significantly on the particular circumstances being considered.
Antras
Pol Antras
Harvard
Uncertain
8
Bio/Vote History
This is neither clear theoretically (scale effects versus escape competition effects) nor empirically (see Autor et al. versus Bloom et al.)
-see background information here
-see background information here
Bandiera
Oriana Bandiera
London School of Economics
Agree
8
Bio/Vote History
Blanchard
Olivier Blanchard
Peterson Institute
No Opinion
Bio/Vote History
Bloom
Nicholas Bloom
Stanford
Strongly Agree
10
Bio/Vote History
Trade and competition is a long established driver of innovation. Autarkies - like North Korea - have little innovation.
Blundell
Richard William Blundell
University College London
Agree
8
Bio/Vote History
Carletti
Elena Carletti
Bocconi
Agree
5
Bio/Vote History
Danthine
Jean-Pierre Danthine
Paris School of Economics
Agree
3
Bio/Vote History
De Grauwe
Paul De Grauwe
LSE
Uncertain
5
Bio/Vote History
Eeckhout
Jan Eeckhout
UPF Barcelona
Agree
6
Bio/Vote History
Fehr
Ernst Fehr
Universität Zurich
Uncertain
9
Bio/Vote History
Freixas
Xavier Freixas
Barcelona GSE Did Not Answer Bio/Vote History
Fuchs-Schündeln
Nicola Fuchs-Schündeln
Goethe-Universität Frankfurt Did Not Answer Bio/Vote History
Galí
Jordi Galí
Barcelona GSE
Agree
6
Bio/Vote History
Giavazzi
Francesco Giavazzi
Bocconi
Agree
8
Bio/Vote History
Griffith
Rachel Griffith
University of Manchester
Uncertain
10
Bio/Vote History
It depends on the capabilities of firms in the home market; if they are too far behind the frontier they won't be able to compete
-see background information here
Guerrieri
Veronica Guerrieri
Chicago Booth Did Not Answer Bio/Vote History
Guiso
Luigi Guiso
Einaudi Institute for Economics and Finance
Strongly Agree
7
Bio/Vote History
Guriev
Sergei Guriev
Sciences Po
Uncertain
8
Bio/Vote History
The relationship between competition and innovation is non-linear
Honohan
Patrick Honohan
Trinity College Dublin
Agree
1
Bio/Vote History
Javorcik
Beata Javorcik
University of Oxford
Agree
4
Bio/Vote History
Krahnen
Jan Pieter Krahnen
Goethe University Frankfurt Did Not Answer Bio/Vote History
Kőszegi
Botond Kőszegi
Central European University
Agree
8
Bio/Vote History
La Ferrara
Eliana La Ferrara
Harvard Kennedy
Uncertain
3
Bio/Vote History
Leuz
Christian Leuz
Chicago Booth
Uncertain
5
Bio/Vote History
Evidence in both directions, differing for Europe & US. Difference could depend on domestic comp or labor markets (e.g., trapped factors)
-see background information here
-see background information here
-see background information here
-see background information here
Mayer
Thierry Mayer
Sciences-Po
Uncertain
9
Bio/Vote History
My understanding of the literature both in theory and empirics is that this relationship is ambiguous.
Meghir
Costas Meghir
Yale
Strongly Agree
9
Bio/Vote History
Neary
Peter Neary
Oxford Did Not Answer Bio/Vote History
Pagano
Marco Pagano
Università di Napoli Federico II
Uncertain
1
Bio/Vote History
Pastor
Lubos Pastor
Chicago Booth
Uncertain
3
Bio/Vote History
Persson
Torsten Persson
Stockholm University Did Not Answer Bio/Vote History
Pissarides
Christopher Pissarides
London School of Economics and Political Science
Strongly Agree
8
Bio/Vote History
R&D will increase the quality of the product or lower its costs and comparative advantage will be restored
Portes
Richard Portes
London Business School
Strongly Agree
8
Bio/Vote History
Prendergast
Canice Prendergast
Chicago Booth
Uncertain
8
Bio/Vote History
Rasul
Imran Rasul
University College London
Agree
6
Bio/Vote History
Reichlin
Lucrezia Reichlin
London Business School
Uncertain
2
Bio/Vote History
Repullo
Rafael Repullo
CEMFI
Uncertain
4
Bio/Vote History
Rey
Hélène Rey
London Business School
Uncertain
7
Bio/Vote History
Depends on the nature of the industry (monopoly, network effects...).
Schoar
Antoinette Schoar
MIT
Uncertain
6
Bio/Vote History
Sturm
Daniel Sturm
London School of Economics
Strongly Agree
9
Bio/Vote History
Van Reenen
John Van Reenen
LSE
Strongly Agree
10
Bio/Vote History
Vickers
John Vickers
Oxford
Uncertain
4
Bio/Vote History
Voth
Hans-Joachim Voth
University of Zurich
Uncertain
9
Bio/Vote History
Bell labs? I think there is little reason to expect something really systematic here
Whelan
Karl Whelan
University College Dublin
Uncertain
5
Bio/Vote History
Wyplosz
Charles Wyplosz
The Graduate Institute Geneva
Uncertain
1
Bio/Vote History
Zilibotti
Fabrizio Zilibotti
Yale University
Strongly Agree
10
Bio/Vote History