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US

Dollar Dominance

Question A:

Use of the renminbi in world trade, as a reserve currency, and/or for foreign bond denomination is likely to increase substantially relative to the dollar over the next ten years.

Responses

Source: Clark Center Economic Experts Panel
Methodology
Question B:

Ceteris paribus, a shift to a more multi-polar international monetary system would have substantial negative implications for the US economy.

Responses

Source: Clark Center Economic Experts Panel
Methodology
 
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Financial Markets & Banking
Finance

Banking Crisis

Question A:

Financial regulators in the US and Europe lack the tools and authority to deter runs on banks by uninsured depositors.

Responses

Source: Clark Center Economic Experts Panel
Methodology
Question B:

Not guaranteeing uninsured deposits at Silicon Valley Bank in full would have created substantial damage to the US economy.

Responses

Source: Clark Center Economic Experts Panel
Methodology
Question C:

Fully guaranteeing uninsured deposits at Silicon Valley Bank substantially increases banks’ incentives to engage in excessive risk-taking.

Responses

Source: Clark Center Economic Experts Panel
Methodology
 
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Banking
Europe

Banking Crisis

This European survey examines (a) Financial regulators in the US and Europe lack the tools and authority to deter runs on banks by uninsured depositors; (b) Not guaranteeing uninsured deposits at Silicon Valley Bank in full would have created substantial damage to the US economy; (c) Fully guaranteeing uninsured deposits at Silicon Valley Bank substantially increases banks’ incentives to engage in excessive risk-taking 
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Banking
US

Banking Crisis

This US survey examines (a) Financial regulators in the US and Europe lack the tools and authority to deter runs on banks by uninsured depositors; (b) Not guaranteeing uninsured deposits at Silicon Valley Bank in full would have created substantial damage to the US economy; (c) Fully guaranteeing uninsured deposits at Silicon Valley Bank substantially increases banks’ incentives to engage in excessive risk-taking 
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Banking
FT-Booth US Macroeconomists Survey

FTxIGM: Economists think Fed will keep raising rates

This installment of the FTxIGM US Macroeconomists Survey discusses possible paths forward for the Fed vis-a-vis rate increases in light of recent banking sector news. The summary results are below and you can read the Financial Times article here, subscription required. View the results of this survey >> For social media: Please use the hashtag […] 
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FT-Booth US Macroeconomists Survey
US

Medicare Funding

This US survey examines (a) If it is implemented, the proposed increase in the tax rate on earned and business income above $400,000 in the Biden budget, along with other proposed changes to Medicare, would extend the solvency of the Medicare program for the next 25 years; (b) If it is implemented, the proposed reform of Medicare drug negotiations in the Biden budget is likely to lead to a substantial reduction in drug prices for beneficiaries; (c) If it is implemented, the proposed reform of Medicare drug negotiations in the Biden budget is likely to lead to a substantial reduction in the development of beneficial new drugs 
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Healthcare & Wellbeing
Europe

Windsor Framework

This European survey examines (a) The amendments to the Northern Ireland protocol agreed by the UK and the EU are unlikely to have a measurable direct impact on UK growth over the next two years; (b) If renewed UK-EU scientific cooperation were achieved in the wake of the Windsor framework, it would be likely to have a measurable positive impact on UK growth over the next five years 
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Economic Growth, Development, & Productivity
US

Liability of Internet Publishers

This US survey examines (a) Imposing stronger legal liability on online platforms for content posted by users would substantially reduce the amount of user-generated content available on those platforms; (b) Imposing stronger legal liability on online platforms for content posted by users would substantially damage those platforms’ advertising businesses; (c) Imposing stronger legal liability on online platforms for content posted by users would substantially reduce the amount of misinformation and disinformation present on those platforms 
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Democracy, Government, & Public Policy