COVID-19

Don’t Fall for the False Trade-offs of COVID-19 Policy

Neale Mahoney Over the coming weeks, we will see many policy arguments, and often they will be couched in the language of economic trade-offs. While there are real economic trade-offs, and economists should participate in debates about them, we should also be on the lookout for politicians dressing up bad ideas in such language—and call […] 
COVID-19

COVID-19 SEM Evergreening Proposal: Inverted Economics

Markus Brunnermeier and Arvind Krishnamurthy The usual policy dos-and-don’ts are reversed during the COVID19 crisis. The objective of policy should be to promote evergreening of loans to carry business, especially small businesses, through their liquidity shortfall. The existing productive structure just needs to be kept alive until the point where the COVID19-pause lifts. Read more> 
COVID-19

“Whatever It Takes.” Getting Into the Specifics of Fiscal Policy to fight COVID-19

Olivier Blanchard The motto for fiscal policy these days is: “Whatever it takes,” and it is indeed the right motto. But what does it mean? What about the specifics? And can we really afford it? Or will we wake up in a few months with a hangover, asking ourselves, “What on earth did we do?” […] 
COVID-19

US Companies are Bracing for a Big Blow From COVID-19

Nicholas Bloom et al We are still months away from confidently gauging COVID-19’s impact on output growth. But the latest wave of results from the Survey of Business Uncertainty indicates that firms are bracing for a huge negative impact on their businesses. The results also say that the outlook deteriorated rapidly over the past two […] 
COVID-19

Policy for the Covid-19 Crisis: A New Survey of Top US Economists

Just two weeks ago, the likelihood of a major US recession as a consequence of the public health challenge was still in doubt. In the past few days, the number of claims filed for unemployment insurance hit record levels; the total number of Covid-19 cases in the United States went past 100,000, already substantially higher than the totals in Italy and China; and parts of the country have imposed lockdowns – closing non-essential businesses and requiring people to stay at home as much as possible.