Keyword: voters

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Europe

Economics and Elections

This European survey examines (a) A period of high inflation is substantially more electorally damaging to incumbent governments in advanced countries than a period of high unemployment; (b) Voters are more likely to punish incumbents for what they perceive as poor national economic performance than they are to reward incumbents for a good economy
Europe

Political Economics

This week’s IGM European Economic Experts Panel statements:   A) Political conflict plays a key role in shaping economic decisions, policies and outcomes. B) Most European countries have larger social welfare systems than the United States in part because the latter is more heterogeneous by race and ethnicity.  
US

Trump and Share Prices

This week’s IGM Economic Experts Panel statements: A) US share prices have risen since Donald Trump’s election victory at least partly because the policies he seems poised to implement are likely to increase US after-tax corporate profits. B) US share prices have risen since Donald Trump’s election victory at least partly because the policies he seems poised to implement are likely to increase US real GDP growth.
Europe

Brexit

This week's IGM European Economics Experts Panel statements: A) Because of the Brexit vote's outcome, the UK's real per-capita income level is likely to be lower a decade from now than it would have been otherwise. B) Because of the Brexit vote's outcome, the rest of the EU's real per-capita income level is likely to be lower a decade from now than it would have been otherwise.
US

Brexit II

This week's IGM Economic Experts Panel statements: A) Because of the Brexit vote's outcome, the UK's real per-capita income level is likely to be lower a decade from now. B) Because of the Brexit vote's outcome, the rest of the EU's real per-capita income level is likely to be lower a decade from now.
US

Primary Voting

This week's IGM Economic Experts Panel statements: A) There is no perfect voting system. That is, no voting system can ensure that the winner will be the person who best represents voters’ wishes, including how intensely they favor or disfavor each candidate. B) One clear defect of a winner-take-all election with 3 or more candidates, and with each voter choosing only one candidate, is that a candidate who is strongly disliked by a majority, but strongly liked by a minority, can beat a candidate who is liked by a majority and disliked by relatively few.