This European survey examines (a) The amendments to the Northern Ireland protocol agreed by the UK and the EU are unlikely to have a measurable direct impact on UK growth over the next two years; (b) If renewed UK-EU scientific cooperation were achieved in the wake of the Windsor framework, it would be likely to have a measurable positive impact on UK growth over the next five years
Keyword: Brexit
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This week’s IGM Economic Experts Panel statements:
A) Following the UK election result, the certainty that the country is going to leave the European Union will provide a substantial short-term boost to the UK economy.
B) The near certainty that the UK will leave the European Union's customs union and single market in 2020 offers a sizeable export market opportunity for American business.
This week’s IGM European Economic Experts Panel statements:
A) Following the UK election result, the certainty that the country is going to leave the European Union will provide a substantial short-term boost to the UK economy.
B) Given that the transition period currently expires at the end of 2020, there is still a considerable risk that the UK will leave the European Union without a trade agreement.
C) Leaving the European Union without a trade agreement would have a large negative impact on the UK economy.
This week's IGM European Economics Experts Panel statements:
A) Because of the Brexit vote's outcome, the UK's real per-capita income level is likely to be lower a decade from now than it would have been otherwise.
B) Because of the Brexit vote's outcome, the rest of the EU's real per-capita income level is likely to be lower a decade from now than it would have been otherwise.
This week's IGM Economic Experts Panel statements:
A) Because of the Brexit vote's outcome, the UK's real per-capita income level is likely to be lower a decade from now.
B) Because of the Brexit vote's outcome, the rest of the EU's real per-capita income level is likely to be lower a decade from now.
This week's IGM Economic Experts Panel statements:
A) If the UK opts to withdraw from the European Union, and assuming Scotland stays in the UK, the level of the UK's real per-capita income a decade later will be lower than if it remains part of the EU.
B) If the UK exits the EU, then it substantially increases the chances that some other current region of the EU will also exit within the following decade.
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