Wealth Taxes

Question A:

A wealth tax would be an effective way to reduce inequality.

Responses weighted by each expert's confidence

Question B:

A wealth tax in a form discussed in the UK (where individuals could be taxed a percentage of their net worth over £750,000, excluding any personal pension savings and their main home) would be an effective way to improve public finances after the Covid-19 crisis.

Responses weighted by each expert's confidence

Question C:

A public policy goal that could be accomplished with a well-enforced wealth tax could be accomplished at lower cost with modifications to existing taxes, such as income tax, capital gains tax, inheritance tax and property tax.

Responses weighted by each expert's confidence

Question A Participant Responses

Participant University Vote Confidence Bio/Vote History
Allen
Franklin Allen
Imperial College London
Uncertain
5
Bio/Vote History
A wealth tax is effective where asset prices are readily available but in many countries, particularly in Europe this is not the case.
Antras
Pol Antras
Harvard
Strongly Agree
6
Bio/Vote History
Hard to argue that it would not if properly implemented (i.e., addressing potential loopholes)
Bandiera
Oriana Bandiera
London School of Economics
Strongly Agree
10
Bio/Vote History
Blanchard
Olivier Blanchard
Peterson Institute
Strongly Agree
8
Bio/Vote History
Bloom
Nicholas Bloom
Stanford
Uncertain
7
Bio/Vote History
Wealth taxes have some major distortions, so it would reduce inequality but be economically very costly. Hence I would prefer an income tax.
Blundell
Richard William Blundell
University College London
Agree
6
Bio/Vote History
Carletti
Elena Carletti
Bocconi Did Not Answer Bio/Vote History
Danthine
Jean-Pierre Danthine
Paris School of Economics
Agree
3
Bio/Vote History
A wealth tax would clearly be a positive move in the intended direction. It will not be a silver bullet.
De Grauwe
Paul De Grauwe
LSE
Strongly Agree
8
Bio/Vote History
In order to have strong redistributive effects the wealth tax should have a progressive feature
Eeckhout
Jan Eeckhout
UPF Barcelona
Agree
9
Bio/Vote History
Fehr
Ernst Fehr
Universität Zurich
Strongly Agree
8
Bio/Vote History
Freixas
Xavier Freixas
Barcelona GSE
Strongly Agree
7
Bio/Vote History
Fuchs-Schündeln
Nicola Fuchs-Schündeln
Goethe-Universität Frankfurt Did Not Answer Bio/Vote History
Galí
Jordi Galí
Barcelona GSE
Agree
6
Bio/Vote History
Giavazzi
Francesco Giavazzi
Bocconi
Uncertain
8
Bio/Vote History
Griffith
Rachel Griffith
University of Manchester
Agree
8
Bio/Vote History
Guerrieri
Veronica Guerrieri
Chicago Booth Did Not Answer Bio/Vote History
Guiso
Luigi Guiso
Einaudi Institute for Economics and Finance
Disagree
9
Bio/Vote History
main cause of wealth concentration is heterogeneity in returns to wealth; a feasible wealth tax can only lower heterogeneity a bit
Guriev
Sergei Guriev
Sciences Po
Agree
7
Bio/Vote History
Honohan
Patrick Honohan
Trinity College Dublin
Uncertain
5
Bio/Vote History
It could be, but history suggests that large loopholes would enable most of the super-rich to avoid it.
Javorcik
Beata Javorcik
University of Oxford
Uncertain
1
Bio/Vote History
Krahnen
Jan Pieter Krahnen
Goethe University Frankfurt
Uncertain
4
Bio/Vote History
A wealth tax will lower inequality only if the resulting wealth transfer/tax avoidance activities do not outweigh the intended effect.
Kőszegi
Botond Kőszegi
Central European University
Agree
9
Bio/Vote History
La Ferrara
Eliana La Ferrara
Harvard Kennedy
Agree
7
Bio/Vote History
Leuz
Christian Leuz
Chicago Booth
Uncertain
3
Bio/Vote History
It is one lever to fight ineq but lots of issues w/implementing WT well. Issues w/progressive consumption tax as alternative too, so unclear
-see background information here
-see background information here
Mayer
Thierry Mayer
Sciences-Po Did Not Answer Bio/Vote History
Meghir
Costas Meghir
Yale
Uncertain
9
Bio/Vote History
Neary
Peter Neary
Oxford
Strongly Agree
7
Bio/Vote History
Pagano
Marco Pagano
Università di Napoli Federico II
Agree
4
Bio/Vote History
Of course much depends on how it is implemented!
Pastor
Lubos Pastor
Chicago Booth
Disagree
4
Bio/Vote History
Much wealth is not liquid, not easy to monetize. Also incentives to hide wealth (gold, paintings).
Persson
Torsten Persson
Stockholm University Did Not Answer Bio/Vote History
Pissarides
Christopher Pissarides
London School of Economics and Political Science
Disagree
7
Bio/Vote History
Portes
Richard Portes
London Business School
Strongly Agree
6
Bio/Vote History
Prendergast
Canice Prendergast
Chicago Booth
Agree
9
Bio/Vote History
Propper
Carol Propper
Imperial College London
Agree
5
Bio/Vote History
Rasul
Imran Rasul
University College London
Agree
6
Bio/Vote History
Reichlin
Lucrezia Reichlin
London Business School Did Not Answer Bio/Vote History
Repullo
Rafael Repullo
CEMFI
Agree
4
Bio/Vote History
The effect on inequality is likely to be small.
Rey
Hélène Rey
London Business School
Agree
8
Bio/Vote History
Schoar
Antoinette Schoar
MIT
Uncertain
8
Bio/Vote History
Storesletten
Kjetil Storesletten
University of Minnesota
Disagree
7
Bio/Vote History
As a tool for addressing inequality, progressive income taxes is more effective than wealth taxes
Sturm
Daniel Sturm
London School of Economics Did Not Answer Bio/Vote History
Van Reenen
John Van Reenen
LSE
Agree
6
Bio/Vote History
Vickers
John Vickers
Oxford
Uncertain
3
Bio/Vote History
Reform of the hotch-potch of existing capital taxes might be more effective. Simply adding to the hotch-potch could backfire.
Voth
Hans-Joachim Voth
University of Zurich
Disagree
8
Bio/Vote History
The superrich will find ways to avoid it - it will underimne wealth accumulation by the bottom 95%
Whelan
Karl Whelan
University College Dublin
Strongly Agree
10
Bio/Vote History
Just yes.
Wyplosz
Charles Wyplosz
The Graduate Institute Geneva
Uncertain
5
Bio/Vote History
It works but is it the best?
Zilibotti
Fabrizio Zilibotti
Yale University
Agree
9
Bio/Vote History

Question B Participant Responses

Participant University Vote Confidence Bio/Vote History
Allen
Franklin Allen
Imperial College London
Disagree
5
Bio/Vote History
It would probably not raise too much revenue if rates are low. If rates are high many people might leave so again it will not raise much.
Antras
Pol Antras
Harvard
Agree
7
Bio/Vote History
Bandiera
Oriana Bandiera
London School of Economics
Uncertain
8
Bio/Vote History
Blanchard
Olivier Blanchard
Peterson Institute
Agree
8
Bio/Vote History
Bloom
Nicholas Bloom
Stanford
Strongly Disagree
10
Bio/Vote History
All the money would leave the country. Sounds great on paper, but in the real world this would cause an rush of cash abroad, damaging the UK
Blundell
Richard William Blundell
University College London
Agree
5
Bio/Vote History
Carletti
Elena Carletti
Bocconi Did Not Answer Bio/Vote History
Danthine
Jean-Pierre Danthine
Paris School of Economics
Agree
3
Bio/Vote History
I tend to agree although I am uncertain as to the percentage of tax receipts that such a tax would raise
De Grauwe
Paul De Grauwe
LSE
Uncertain
5
Bio/Vote History
Eeckhout
Jan Eeckhout
UPF Barcelona
Agree
8
Bio/Vote History
Fehr
Ernst Fehr
Universität Zurich
Agree
7
Bio/Vote History
Freixas
Xavier Freixas
Barcelona GSE
Uncertain
5
Bio/Vote History
Fuchs-Schündeln
Nicola Fuchs-Schündeln
Goethe-Universität Frankfurt Did Not Answer Bio/Vote History
Galí
Jordi Galí
Barcelona GSE
Agree
6
Bio/Vote History
Giavazzi
Francesco Giavazzi
Bocconi
Uncertain
8
Bio/Vote History
Griffith
Rachel Griffith
University of Manchester
Agree
8
Bio/Vote History
Guerrieri
Veronica Guerrieri
Chicago Booth Did Not Answer Bio/Vote History
Guiso
Luigi Guiso
Einaudi Institute for Economics and Finance
Agree
8
Bio/Vote History
That is like taxing the top 1%. If they have 30% of wealth and wealth to income is 3 , that would increase revenues by 1% of GDP
Guriev
Sergei Guriev
Sciences Po
Disagree
7
Bio/Vote History
With negative yields on government debt, there is no pressure to "improve public finances"
Honohan
Patrick Honohan
Trinity College Dublin
Uncertain
5
Bio/Vote History
Could be a useful addition to the tax toolbox. Buy, where used, wealth taxes have yield relatively small percentage of tax revenue.
Javorcik
Beata Javorcik
University of Oxford
Disagree
3
Bio/Vote History
Krahnen
Jan Pieter Krahnen
Goethe University Frankfurt
Uncertain
4
Bio/Vote History
Kőszegi
Botond Kőszegi
Central European University
No Opinion
Bio/Vote History
La Ferrara
Eliana La Ferrara
Harvard Kennedy
Agree
7
Bio/Vote History
Leuz
Christian Leuz
Chicago Booth
Disagree
2
Bio/Vote History
Know little about UK specifics but disagree w/ notion to create new tax to restore finances post covid. Perhaps one-off tax better?
Mayer
Thierry Mayer
Sciences-Po Did Not Answer Bio/Vote History
Meghir
Costas Meghir
Yale
Uncertain
9
Bio/Vote History
Neary
Peter Neary
Oxford
Agree
7
Bio/Vote History
Effective yes. Politically feasible? Unclear
Pagano
Marco Pagano
Università di Napoli Federico II
Agree
4
Bio/Vote History
Much depends on the tax rate and on tax enforcement.
Pastor
Lubos Pastor
Chicago Booth
Disagree
4
Bio/Vote History
Persson
Torsten Persson
Stockholm University Did Not Answer Bio/Vote History
Pissarides
Christopher Pissarides
London School of Economics and Political Science
Strongly Disagree
8
Bio/Vote History
A tax on excess profits made during the pandemic by the likes of Amazon and Ocado would be much better
Portes
Richard Portes
London Business School
Agree
6
Bio/Vote History
Prendergast
Canice Prendergast
Chicago Booth
Uncertain
8
Bio/Vote History
Propper
Carol Propper
Imperial College London
Disagree
5
Bio/Vote History
While a wealth tax is a good idea, there are evasion/avoidance issues that need to be tackled, and the higher the rate, the more of this.
Rasul
Imran Rasul
University College London
Agree
7
Bio/Vote History
Reichlin
Lucrezia Reichlin
London Business School Did Not Answer Bio/Vote History
Repullo
Rafael Repullo
CEMFI
Agree
4
Bio/Vote History
The effect on public finances is likely to be small.
Rey
Hélène Rey
London Business School
Agree
8
Bio/Vote History
Schoar
Antoinette Schoar
MIT
Strongly Disagree
8
Bio/Vote History
Storesletten
Kjetil Storesletten
University of Minnesota
Disagree
7
Bio/Vote History
Tax base is small after deducting main home plus net worth of $1,000,000. Therefore tax rate must be very large to raise substantial revenue
Sturm
Daniel Sturm
London School of Economics Did Not Answer Bio/Vote History
Van Reenen
John Van Reenen
LSE
Uncertain
5
Bio/Vote History
Vickers
John Vickers
Oxford
Uncertain
3
Bio/Vote History
Voth
Hans-Joachim Voth
University of Zurich
Disagree
8
Bio/Vote History
Whelan
Karl Whelan
University College Dublin
Agree
7
Bio/Vote History
Not sure about the framing. Arguments for a wealth tax should not be about "fixing public finances". Exclusions from the tax seem big.
Wyplosz
Charles Wyplosz
The Graduate Institute Geneva
Uncertain
4
Bio/Vote History
RIch people move, with their feet and their tax-advisors.
Zilibotti
Fabrizio Zilibotti
Yale University
Agree
9
Bio/Vote History

Question C Participant Responses

Participant University Vote Confidence Bio/Vote History
Allen
Franklin Allen
Imperial College London
Uncertain
5
Bio/Vote History
Probably there's an MM type theorem out there but whether the assumptions are reasonable is doubtful. Monetary policy may be a better way.
Antras
Pol Antras
Harvard
Uncertain
6
Bio/Vote History
Bandiera
Oriana Bandiera
London School of Economics
Agree
10
Bio/Vote History
Blanchard
Olivier Blanchard
Peterson Institute
Uncertain
8
Bio/Vote History
not sure about the ``lower cost'' part. there are equivalence theorems, and then it depends on implementation problems.
Bloom
Nicholas Bloom
Stanford
Strongly Agree
10
Bio/Vote History
Having worked in the UK treasury on tax policy - and dealt with taxes in the real world - details matter. A wealth tax would not work well.
Blundell
Richard William Blundell
University College London
Agree
4
Bio/Vote History
Carletti
Elena Carletti
Bocconi Did Not Answer Bio/Vote History
Danthine
Jean-Pierre Danthine
Paris School of Economics
Uncertain
3
Bio/Vote History
Other taxes may be more efficient at raising funds. Green taxes may be less distortionary. A wealth tax should be part of the package!
De Grauwe
Paul De Grauwe
LSE
Disagree
6
Bio/Vote History
Eeckhout
Jan Eeckhout
UPF Barcelona
Uncertain
8
Bio/Vote History
Fehr
Ernst Fehr
Universität Zurich
Disagree
7
Bio/Vote History
Freixas
Xavier Freixas
Barcelona GSE
Disagree
4
Bio/Vote History
Fuchs-Schündeln
Nicola Fuchs-Schündeln
Goethe-Universität Frankfurt Did Not Answer Bio/Vote History
Galí
Jordi Galí
Barcelona GSE
Agree
6
Bio/Vote History
Giavazzi
Francesco Giavazzi
Bocconi
Agree
8
Bio/Vote History
Griffith
Rachel Griffith
University of Manchester
Agree
8
Bio/Vote History
Guerrieri
Veronica Guerrieri
Chicago Booth Did Not Answer Bio/Vote History
Guiso
Luigi Guiso
Einaudi Institute for Economics and Finance
Uncertain
5
Bio/Vote History
Guriev
Sergei Guriev
Sciences Po
Agree
7
Bio/Vote History
Honohan
Patrick Honohan
Trinity College Dublin
Agree
5
Bio/Vote History
Javorcik
Beata Javorcik
University of Oxford
Agree
5
Bio/Vote History
Krahnen
Jan Pieter Krahnen
Goethe University Frankfurt
Agree
7
Bio/Vote History
Kőszegi
Botond Kőszegi
Central European University
Uncertain
6
Bio/Vote History
La Ferrara
Eliana La Ferrara
Harvard Kennedy
Uncertain
4
Bio/Vote History
Leuz
Christian Leuz
Chicago Booth
Uncertain
3
Bio/Vote History
Equivalence w/ capital income tax under some conditions; some arguments in favor of WT (see below), but there are also inher and prop taxes.
-see background information here
Mayer
Thierry Mayer
Sciences-Po Did Not Answer Bio/Vote History
Meghir
Costas Meghir
Yale
Agree
9
Bio/Vote History
Neary
Peter Neary
Oxford
Uncertain
6
Bio/Vote History
In principle, yes. Raising capital gains tax in particular would tax flows of new wealth. But a wealth tax is still desirable.
Pagano
Marco Pagano
Università di Napoli Federico II
Uncertain
4
Bio/Vote History
Pastor
Lubos Pastor
Chicago Booth
Uncertain
4
Bio/Vote History
Persson
Torsten Persson
Stockholm University Did Not Answer Bio/Vote History
Pissarides
Christopher Pissarides
London School of Economics and Political Science
Agree
9
Bio/Vote History
The administration of a wealth tax would be a nightmare and the ones that will get away will be the wealthiest. More money for accountants
Portes
Richard Portes
London Business School
Uncertain
1
Bio/Vote History
Prendergast
Canice Prendergast
Chicago Booth
Agree
8
Bio/Vote History
Propper
Carol Propper
Imperial College London
Agree
6
Bio/Vote History
Rasul
Imran Rasul
University College London
Agree
6
Bio/Vote History
Reichlin
Lucrezia Reichlin
London Business School Did Not Answer Bio/Vote History
Repullo
Rafael Repullo
CEMFI
Uncertain
4
Bio/Vote History
Rey
Hélène Rey
London Business School
Uncertain
1
Bio/Vote History
depends on implementation
Schoar
Antoinette Schoar
MIT
Strongly Agree
9
Bio/Vote History
Storesletten
Kjetil Storesletten
University of Minnesota
Strongly Agree
8
Bio/Vote History
Property taxes can raise large revenue with small distortions. Use progressive income taxes and dividend taxes to address inequality
Sturm
Daniel Sturm
London School of Economics Did Not Answer Bio/Vote History
Van Reenen
John Van Reenen
LSE
Agree
6
Bio/Vote History
Vickers
John Vickers
Oxford
Uncertain
3
Bio/Vote History
Voth
Hans-Joachim Voth
University of Zurich
Agree
9
Bio/Vote History
Whelan
Karl Whelan
University College Dublin
Agree
8
Bio/Vote History
There are lots of ways to tax wealth but objections to raising inheritance taxes etc. will be just as strong as objections to a wealth tax.
Wyplosz
Charles Wyplosz
The Graduate Institute Geneva
No Opinion
Bio/Vote History
Zilibotti
Fabrizio Zilibotti
Yale University
Disagree
8
Bio/Vote History