Because of the many special and unique roles that the dollar plays in global commerce, US citizens are substantially better off than they otherwise would be.
Responses
Responses weighted by each expert's confidence
Participant | University | Vote | Confidence | Bio/Vote History |
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Daron Acemoglu |
MIT | Bio/Vote History | ||
Seigniorage is not trivial. The perceived safety and desirability US assets is unlikely to be unrelated to this role of the dollar.
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Alberto Alesina |
Harvard | Bio/Vote History | ||
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Joseph Altonji |
Yale | Bio/Vote History | ||
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Alan Auerbach |
Berkeley | Bio/Vote History | ||
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David Autor |
MIT | Bio/Vote History | ||
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Katherine Baicker |
University of Chicago | Bio/Vote History | ||
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Abhijit Banerjee |
MIT | Did Not Answer | Bio/Vote History | |
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Marianne Bertrand |
Chicago | Bio/Vote History | ||
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Markus Brunnermeier |
Princeton | Bio/Vote History | ||
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Raj Chetty |
Harvard | Did Not Answer | Bio/Vote History | |
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Judith Chevalier |
Yale | Bio/Vote History | ||
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David Cutler |
Harvard | Bio/Vote History | ||
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Angus Deaton |
Princeton | Bio/Vote History | ||
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Darrell Duffie |
Stanford | Bio/Vote History | ||
Research shows a steady global demand for dollar debt issues, which lowers normal borrowing costs, and also a flight-to-safety benefit.
-see background information here |
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Aaron Edlin |
Berkeley | Bio/Vote History | ||
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Barry Eichengreen |
Berkeley | Bio/Vote History | ||
Had to swallow hard over the "substantially." See url below for details.
-see background information here |
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Liran Einav |
Stanford | Bio/Vote History | ||
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Ray Fair |
Yale | Bio/Vote History | ||
Not a good question. Not clear what "substantially " means. Sign is probably positive, but also probably small.
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Amy Finkelstein |
MIT | Bio/Vote History | ||
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Pinelopi Goldberg |
Yale | Bio/Vote History | ||
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Austan Goolsbee |
Chicago | Bio/Vote History | ||
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Michael Greenstone |
University of Chicago | Bio/Vote History | ||
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Robert Hall |
Stanford | Bio/Vote History | ||
The advantage is that the gov and business can borrow short-term at slightly lower rates. Does not rise to the level of "substantial".
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Oliver Hart |
Harvard | Bio/Vote History | ||
The U.S. government pays its debts and maintains low inflation. This is good for Americans. Sometimes a high dollar reduces exports,however.
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Bengt Holmström |
MIT | Bio/Vote History | ||
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Caroline Hoxby |
Stanford | Bio/Vote History | ||
I mildly agree with this statement, but the word "substantially" in "substantially better off" is not supported by evidence.
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Hilary Hoynes |
Berkeley | Bio/Vote History | ||
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Kenneth Judd |
Stanford | Bio/Vote History | ||
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Steven Kaplan |
Chicago Booth | Bio/Vote History | ||
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Anil Kashyap |
Chicago Booth | Bio/Vote History | ||
rarely mentioned example, foreign global banks start each day structurally short of dollar funding, US banks don't + Fed can help US banks
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Pete Klenow |
Stanford | Bio/Vote History | ||
Probably better off, but not substantially (e.g., seigniorage is on the order of 0.1% of annual GDP).
-see background information here |
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Jonathan Levin |
Stanford | Did Not Answer | Bio/Vote History | |
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Eric Maskin |
Harvard | Bio/Vote History | ||
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William Nordhaus |
Yale | Bio/Vote History | ||
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Emmanuel Saez |
Berkeley | Bio/Vote History | ||
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Larry Samuelson |
Yale | Bio/Vote History | ||
The faith n the US economy that drives the central role of the dollar in the international economy if one of our great assets.
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José Scheinkman |
Columbia University | Bio/Vote History | ||
US citizens enjoy some net benefits from the dollar status, but these benefits are not likely to be substantial.
-see background information here |
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Richard Schmalensee |
MIT | Bio/Vote History | ||
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Carl Shapiro |
Berkeley | Bio/Vote History | ||
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Robert Shimer |
University of Chicago | Bio/Vote History | ||
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James Stock |
Harvard | Bio/Vote History | ||
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Richard Thaler |
Chicago Booth | Bio/Vote History | ||
Currencies seem less relevant than they used to be. But uninformed.
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Christopher Udry |
Northwestern | Bio/Vote History | ||
Seigniorage is great, but it's small potatoes. US may have more monetary policy freedom. "Substantial" may be overstatement.
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