Stablecoins that are not fully backed by either central bank reserves or government securities with minimal price volatility are inherently vulnerable to runs.

Responses

© 2025. Kent A. Clark Center for Global Markets.
9%
7%
0%
2%
0%
51%
30%

Responses weighted by each expert's confidence

© 2025. Kent A. Clark Center for Global Markets.
0%
4%
0%
56%
40%
Participant
University
Vote
Confidence
Bio/Vote History
Acemoglu
Daron Acemoglu
MIT
Agree
4
Bio/Vote History
Altonji
Joseph Altonji
Yale
Agree
4
Bio/Vote History
Auerbach
Alan Auerbach
Berkeley
Agree
7
Bio/Vote History
Autor
David Autor
MIT
No Opinion
Bio/Vote History
Baicker
Katherine Baicker
University of Chicago
Agree
3
Bio/Vote History
Banerjee
Abhijit Banerjee
MIT Did Not Answer Bio/Vote History
Bertrand
Marianne Bertrand
Chicago
Agree
5
Bio/Vote History
Brunnermeier
Markus Brunnermeier
Princeton
Agree
10
Bio/Vote History
Chetty
Raj Chetty
Harvard Did Not Answer Bio/Vote History
Chevalier
Judith Chevalier
Yale
Agree
9
Bio/Vote History
Cutler
David Cutler
Harvard
Strongly Agree
5
Bio/Vote History
Deaton
Angus Deaton
Princeton
Agree
6
Bio/Vote History
Duffie
Darrell Duffie
Stanford
Strongly Agree
10
Bio/Vote History
It’s roughly the same principle as a money market mutual fund, but the run happens even faster!
Edlin
Aaron Edlin
Berkeley
Agree
7
Bio/Vote History
There might be other ways to guarantee stability of a stable coin but these are must obvious.
Eichengreen
Barry Eichengreen
Berkeley
Strongly Agree
5
Bio/Vote History
Einav
Liran Einav
Stanford
Agree
1
Bio/Vote History
Fair
Ray Fair
Yale
Agree
5
Bio/Vote History
Finkelstein
Amy Finkelstein
MIT
Strongly Agree
4
Bio/Vote History
Goldberg
Pinelopi Goldberg
Yale Did Not Answer Bio/Vote History
Goolsbee
Austan Goolsbee
Chicago
Strongly Agree
10
Bio/Vote History
Next they will tell us why that’s actually good.
Greenstone
Michael Greenstone
University of Chicago Did Not Answer Bio/Vote History
Hall
Robert Hall
Stanford
Disagree
10
Bio/Vote History
Wrong. Less stable backing can be overcome by additional backing; e.g. bonds backed by enough sub-prime mortgages can be AAA.
Hart
Oliver Hart
Harvard
Strongly Agree
10
Bio/Vote History
Holmström
Bengt Holmström
MIT
Strongly Agree
6
Bio/Vote History
Runs can occur whenever there is a safer alternative
Hoxby
Caroline Hoxby
Stanford
No Opinion
Bio/Vote History
Hoynes
Hilary Hoynes
Berkeley
Agree
6
Bio/Vote History
Judd
Kenneth Judd
Stanford
Agree
5
Bio/Vote History
Kaplan
Steven Kaplan
Chicago Booth
Agree
8
Bio/Vote History
Kashyap
Anil Kashyap
Chicago Booth
Strongly Agree
9
Bio/Vote History
Should be called unstable coins, they have the same design flaws as MMMFs.
-see background information here
Klenow
Pete Klenow
Stanford
Strongly Agree
2
Bio/Vote History
Levin
Jonathan Levin
Stanford
Strongly Agree
5
Bio/Vote History
Maskin
Eric Maskin
Harvard
Agree
7
Bio/Vote History
Nordhaus
William Nordhaus
Yale
Agree
9
Bio/Vote History
Plus need regulatory oversight
Obstfeld
Maurice Obstfeld
Berkeley
Strongly Agree
8
Bio/Vote History
Saez
Emmanuel Saez
Berkeley
Agree
6
Bio/Vote History
Samuelson
Larry Samuelson
Yale
Agree
6
Bio/Vote History
Scheinkman
José Scheinkman
Columbia University
Strongly Agree
9
Bio/Vote History
Schmalensee
Richard Schmalensee
MIT
Agree
4
Bio/Vote History
Shapiro
Carl Shapiro
Berkeley
Agree
7
Bio/Vote History
Shimer
Robert Shimer
University of Chicago
Strongly Agree
10
Bio/Vote History
The only other way to avoid vulnerability to runs is treasury guarantees, but that defeats the purpose of stable coins.
Stock
James Stock
Harvard
No Opinion
Bio/Vote History
Thaler
Richard Thaler
Chicago Booth
Agree
6
Bio/Vote History
Eric Budish has convinced me this is true in theory, and recent events suggest it is true in practice.
Udry
Christopher Udry
Northwestern
Agree
4
Bio/Vote History