On the whole, the shift from state to private ownership of many industrial assets in central and eastern European countries after communism has increased productivity in those countries.
Responses
© 2025. Kent A. Clark Center for Global Markets.
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Responses weighted by each expert's confidence
© 2025. Kent A. Clark Center for Global Markets.
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Participant |
University |
Vote |
Confidence |
Bio/Vote History |
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![]() Philippe Aghion |
Harvard | Did Not Answer | Bio/Vote History | |
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![]() Franklin Allen |
Imperial College London | Bio/Vote History | ||
For many but not all industries, privatization increases efficiency. I think this is true in many central and eastern European countries.
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![]() Pol Antras |
Harvard | Bio/Vote History | ||
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![]() Richard Baldwin |
The Graduate Institute Geneva | Bio/Vote History | ||
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![]() Agnès Bénassy-Quéré |
Paris School of Economics | Bio/Vote History | ||
Only after several years of depression.
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![]() Timothy J. Besley |
LSE | Did Not Answer | Bio/Vote History | |
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![]() Olivier Blanchard |
Peterson Institute | Bio/Vote History | ||
This is a no brainer.
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![]() Nicholas Bloom |
Stanford | Bio/Vote History | ||
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![]() Richard William Blundell |
University College London | Bio/Vote History | ||
The majority of privatisations have been carried out effectively with proper auctions and subsequent price regulation.
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![]() Elena Carletti |
Bocconi | Bio/Vote History | ||
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![]() Jean-Pierre Danthine |
Paris School of Economics | Bio/Vote History | ||
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![]() Paul De Grauwe |
LSE | Bio/Vote History | ||
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![]() Jan Eeckhout |
UPF Barcelona | Bio/Vote History | ||
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![]() Ernst Fehr |
Universität Zurich | Bio/Vote History | ||
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![]() Xavier Freixas |
Barcelona GSE | Bio/Vote History | ||
As a non-expert I cannot answer that is related to oligarchies, corruption and the end of the cold war.
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![]() Nicola Fuchs-Schündeln |
Goethe-Universität Frankfurt | Bio/Vote History | ||
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![]() Jordi Galí |
Barcelona GSE | Bio/Vote History | ||
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![]() Luis Garicano |
LSE | Bio/Vote History | ||
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![]() Francesco Giavazzi |
Bocconi | Bio/Vote History | ||
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![]() Rachel Griffith |
University of Manchester | Bio/Vote History | ||
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![]() Veronica Guerrieri |
Chicago Booth | Bio/Vote History | ||
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![]() Luigi Guiso |
Einaudi Institute for Economics and Finance | Bio/Vote History | ||
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![]() Martin Hellwig |
Max Planck Institute for Research on Collective Goods | Did Not Answer | Bio/Vote History | |
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![]() Patrick Honohan |
Trinity College Dublin | Bio/Vote History | ||
The answer would be less obvious if applied only to Western Europe
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![]() Henrik Kleven |
Princeton | Bio/Vote History | ||
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![]() Botond Kőszegi |
Central European University | Bio/Vote History | ||
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![]() Jan Pieter Krahnen |
Goethe University Frankfurt | Bio/Vote History | ||
While productivity has increased almost surely, production may actually have dropped significantly, as industry was largely dismantled.
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![]() Per Krusell |
Stockholm University | Bio/Vote History | ||
I have no knowledge in this area.
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![]() Eliana La Ferrara |
Harvard Kennedy | Bio/Vote History | ||
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![]() Christian Leuz |
Chicago Booth | Bio/Vote History | ||
During transition in those economies, we also saw productivity gains for state-owned firms but gains for privatized firms were much larger.
-see background information here |
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![]() Costas Meghir |
Yale | Bio/Vote History | ||
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![]() Peter Neary |
Oxford | Bio/Vote History | ||
Productivity has increased, though in Russia and other countries the distributional consequences have been regressive
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![]() Kevin O'Rourke |
Oxford | Bio/Vote History | ||
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![]() Marco Pagano |
Università di Napoli Federico II | Bio/Vote History | ||
This is not only in line with what economic theory predicts, but also consistent with much evidence.
-see background information here -see background information here |
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![]() Lubos Pastor |
Chicago Booth | Bio/Vote History | ||
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![]() Torsten Persson |
Stockholm University | Bio/Vote History | ||
Even in East Germany only a few firms were viable at world-market prices at the end of communism (Akerlof et al, BPEA, 1990)
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![]() Christopher Pissarides |
London School of Economics and Political Science | Bio/Vote History | ||
governments are not good at running businesses, private owners know better how to increase productivity
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![]() Richard Portes |
London Business School | Bio/Vote History | ||
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![]() Canice Prendergast |
Chicago Booth | Bio/Vote History | ||
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![]() Lucrezia Reichlin |
London Business School | Bio/Vote History | ||
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![]() Rafael Repullo |
CEMFI | Bio/Vote History | ||
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![]() Hélène Rey |
London Business School | Bio/Vote History | ||
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![]() Antoinette Schoar |
MIT | Bio/Vote History | ||
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![]() John Van Reenen |
LSE | Bio/Vote History | ||
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![]() John Vickers |
Oxford | Bio/Vote History | ||
Gains have come from pro-market reforms more generally, but privatization was a pre-condition.
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![]() Hans-Joachim Voth |
University of Zurich | Bio/Vote History | ||
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![]() Beatrice Weder di Mauro |
The Graduate Institute, Geneva | Bio/Vote History | ||
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![]() Karl Whelan |
University College Dublin | Bio/Vote History | ||
Agree but moving from state-sponsored monopolies to badly-regulated private sector monopolies does not do much for the average consumer.
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![]() Charles Wyplosz |
The Graduate Institute Geneva | Bio/Vote History | ||
With rare exceptions, firms were highly inefficient beforehand. In some countries, private firms remain uncompetitive because of corruption.
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![]() Fabrizio Zilibotti |
Yale University | Bio/Vote History | ||
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