Passive Investors and US Banks

Regulator Probes BlackRock and Vanguard Over Huge Stakes in U.S. Banks – The WSJ reports that ‘The FDIC is scrutinizing whether the index-fund giants are sticking to passive roles when it comes to their investments in U.S. banks.’

The exemption of passive asset managers from banking rules - such as needing permission when they acquire shares above the 10% threshold - generates measurable risks to the accomplishment of the FDIC's mission.

Responses weighted by each expert's confidence

Participant University Vote Confidence Bio/Vote History
Campbell
John Campbell
Harvard
Disagree
7
Bio/Vote History
Passive investors acquire equal proportional shares of all stocks in their indexes (when those indexes are value-weighted), and so their proportional ownership is a mechanical function of their AUM with no implications for bank governance.
Cochrane
John Cochrane
Hoover Institution Stanford
Strongly Disagree
10
Bio/Vote History
This kind of proposal seems designed to certify that regulators have a lot of time on their hands and no idea how anything works. They completely missed Silicon Valley Bank, yet think Vanguard owning 10% of a bank without filling out another mountain of paperwork is a danger?
Cornelli
Francesca Cornelli
Northwestern Kellogg Did Not Answer Bio/Vote History
Diamond
Douglas Diamond
Chicago Booth
Strongly Disagree
8
Bio/Vote History
Passive managers do not vote for control of decisions.
Du
Wenxin Du
HBS
Uncertain
5
Bio/Vote History
Duffie
Darrell Duffie
Stanford
Uncertain
9
Bio/Vote History
Eberly
Janice Eberly
Northwestern Kellogg
Disagree
7
Bio/Vote History
If investments are passive, and can be verified and maintained as passive, then the rationale for the 10% threshold would not hold.
Fama
Eugene Fama
Chicago Booth
Strongly Disagree
9
Bio/Vote History
Gabaix
Xavier Gabaix
Harvard Did Not Answer Bio/Vote History
Goldstein
Itay Goldstein
UPenn Wharton
Uncertain
6
Bio/Vote History
Graham
John Graham
Duke Fuqua
Strongly Disagree
8
Bio/Vote History
Harvey
Campbell R. Harvey
Duke Fuqua
Disagree
8
Bio/Vote History
The current level of investment by passive managers does not, in my opinion, generate significant risk - even if slightly over 10%. However, this should not be an open-ended exemption. The exemption should have a cap, such as 25%.
Hirshleifer
David Hirshleifer
USC
Uncertain
2
Bio/Vote History
Hong
Harrison Hong
Columbia Did Not Answer Bio/Vote History
Jiang
Wei Jiang
Emory Goizueta
Disagree
7
Bio/Vote History
Kaplan
Steven Kaplan
Chicago Booth
Agree
5
Bio/Vote History
Kashyap
Anil Kashyap
Chicago Booth
Disagree
3
Bio/Vote History
the power of the mechanism whereby the asset managers engage management to try to further the mission of the FDIC seems very weak. what examples do we see where this channel is powerful, they certainly won't turn into activists.
Koijen
Ralph Koijen
Chicago Booth Did Not Answer Bio/Vote History
Kuhnen
Camelia Kuhnen
UNC Kenan-Flagler
Uncertain
3
Bio/Vote History
Lo
Andrew Lo
MIT Sloan Did Not Answer Bio/Vote History
Lowry
Michelle Lowry
Drexel LeBow
Agree
7
Bio/Vote History
A challenge is that it is difficult to monitor / evaluate the ways in which the Big 3 might influence these banks (beyond participating in shareholder voting).
Ludvigson
Sydney Ludvigson
NYU
Agree
7
Bio/Vote History
Maggiori
Matteo Maggiori
Stanford GSB Did Not Answer Bio/Vote History
Matvos
Gregor Matvos
Northwestern Kellogg Did Not Answer Bio/Vote History
Moskowitz
Tobias Moskowitz
Yale School of Management
Uncertain
4
Bio/Vote History
Nagel
Stefan Nagel
Chicago Booth
Disagree
6
Bio/Vote History
I do not see any clear reasons why passive managers' stakes would generate risks for anything that the FDIC should care about according to its mandate.
Parker
Jonathan Parker
MIT Sloan
Disagree
8
Bio/Vote History
Parlour
Christine Parlour
Berkeley Haas
Disagree
7
Bio/Vote History
Passive holdings are imputable to observable flows.
Philippon
Thomas Philippon
NYU Stern
Disagree
5
Bio/Vote History
There might be market power issues but I don't see the financial stability issues. And we usually want banks to raise more equity rather than less.
Puri
Manju Puri
Duke Fuqua Did Not Answer Bio/Vote History
Roberts
Michael R. Roberts
UPenn Wharton
Agree
7
Bio/Vote History
Sapienza
Paola Sapienza
Northwestern Kellogg Did Not Answer Bio/Vote History
Seru
Amit Seru
Stanford GSB
Uncertain
5
Bio/Vote History
Stambaugh
Robert Stambaugh
UPenn Wharton
Agree
6
Bio/Vote History
Starks
Laura Starks
UT Austin McCombs
Strongly Disagree
10
Bio/Vote History
Stein
Jeremy Stein
Harvard
Uncertain
2
Bio/Vote History
Stroebel
Johannes Stroebel
NYU Stern Did Not Answer Bio/Vote History
Sufi
Amir Sufi
Chicago Booth Did Not Answer Bio/Vote History
Titman
Sheridan Titman
UT Austin McCombs
Uncertain
3
Bio/Vote History
Van Nieuwerburgh
Stijn Van Nieuwerburgh
Columbia Business School
Disagree
6
Bio/Vote History
It is unwise to limit access to a well-diversified equity portfolio for passive investors. Index funds should let their shareholders vote in corporate elections and Abstain as a fallback.
Whited
Toni Whited
UMich Ross School
Disagree
4
Bio/Vote History