Investing in Private Assets

A properly diversified 401k account should include private equity and private credit assets.

Responses weighted by each expert's confidence

Participant University Vote Confidence Bio/Vote History
Campbell
John Campbell
Harvard
Disagree
7
Bio/Vote History
Private assets do have a role in a fully diversified portfolio, but discretion in marking values to market makes it easy to conceal risks which is dangerous for less sophisticated investors including typical 401(k) investors.
Cochrane
John Cochrane
Hoover Institution Stanford
Uncertain
6
Bio/Vote History
Should be legal. Wise? The attraction is supposedly better returns, not diversification, low correlation. A lot of volatility and beta laundering. A bit closer to true market portfolio I guess. And good regulatory / tax competition against onerous treatment of public securities.
Cornelli
Francesca Cornelli
Northwestern Kellogg
Agree
8
Bio/Vote History
Diamond
Douglas Diamond
Chicago Booth
Strongly Disagree
8
Bio/Vote History
Du
Wenxin Du
HBS
Uncertain
6
Bio/Vote History
Duffie
Darrell Duffie
Stanford
Uncertain
9
Bio/Vote History
Diversification benefit versus smaller-investor access costs and heterogeneous investor sophistication. There is also evidence (e.g., Begenau et al) that less sophisticated investors may pay much bigger fees.
-see background information here
Eberly
Janice Eberly
Northwestern Kellogg
Uncertain
6
Bio/Vote History
In principle diversification should incorporate as many distinct assets as possible. In practice, some assets are costly to hold, eg, they may be opaque and have information costs, requiring input from informed agents who extract fees, which overcome the diversification benefit.
Fama
Eugene Fama
Chicago Booth
Uncertain
10
Bio/Vote History
Depends on the sophistication of the investor and the investor's willingness to bear risk.
Gabaix
Xavier Gabaix
Harvard
Strongly Agree
8
Bio/Vote History
Goldstein
Itay Goldstein
UPenn Wharton
Uncertain
5
Bio/Vote History
Graham
John Graham
Duke Fuqua
Agree
7
Bio/Vote History
Harvey
Campbell R. Harvey
Duke Fuqua
Agree
8
Bio/Vote History
The first problem is the lack of vehicles for 401k. There are only a few PC ETFs (e.g., Virtus) and not that many PE ETFs (iShares has some). The second prob is the lack of quality of the ETFs. Institutional investors get the best deals and retail investors gets the leftovers.
Hong
Harrison Hong
Columbia
Agree
7
Bio/Vote History
Jiang
Wei Jiang
Emory Goizueta
Agree
7
Bio/Vote History
Kaplan
Steven Kaplan
Chicago Booth
Uncertain
8
Bio/Vote History
Strong evidence that private equity and credit provide diversification benefits over public securities at institutional level. Uncertainty in my answer is driven by question of whether 401K investors will get lower returns through higher fees and / or adverse selection.
Kashyap
Anil Kashyap
Chicago Booth
Agree
3
Bio/Vote History
Koijen
Ralph Koijen
Chicago Booth
Uncertain
4
Bio/Vote History
While this can be valuable in principle, it depends on the implementation in terms of fees, which assets are being included / offered. Those issues are already important with public assets and are even more important here.
Kuhnen
Camelia Kuhnen
UNC Kenan-Flagler
Strongly Agree
7
Bio/Vote History
Lo
Andrew Lo
MIT Sloan
Strongly Agree
10
Bio/Vote History
Diversification can be improved with a wider set of assets
Lowry
Michelle Lowry
Drexel LeBow
Uncertain
6
Bio/Vote History
While these assets are a growing portion of the economy, fees to invest in them can be quite high.
Ludvigson
Sydney Ludvigson
NYU
Disagree
8
Bio/Vote History
The opacity, illiquidity, and potential for conflicts of interest in the way private assets are currently traded, make them unsuitable for household retirement funds
Maggiori
Matteo Maggiori
Stanford GSB
Agree
3
Bio/Vote History
Matvos
Gregor Matvos
Northwestern Kellogg Did Not Answer Bio/Vote History
Moskowitz
Tobias Moskowitz
Yale School of Management
Uncertain
7
Bio/Vote History
Not clear how diversifying private equity and credit are since they are not marked to market so it is difficult to know their true risk and correlation to public markets. However, if there is a liquidity premium in privates, then it might make sense for retirement portfolios.
Nagel
Stefan Nagel
Chicago Booth
Disagree
7
Bio/Vote History
Given the small historical alpha of private assets for institutional investors(which is likely an optimistic estimate of future alpha) and the additional fees that would be layered retail, private assets are unlikely to improve a well-diversified portfolio of public assets
Parker
Jonathan Parker
MIT Sloan
Disagree
7
Bio/Vote History
Private assets are private for many reasons, most of which imply that 401k investors investing in private assets would pay high fees or get low returns. If private assets are private only because of burdensome regulation of being public, then change the regulation.
Parlour
Christine Parlour
Berkeley Haas
Agree
7
Bio/Vote History
Philippon
Thomas Philippon
NYU Stern
Agree
9
Bio/Vote History
Puri
Manju Puri
Duke Fuqua
Agree
7
Bio/Vote History
Roberts
Michael R. Roberts
UPenn Wharton
Strongly Agree
9
Bio/Vote History
Sapienza
Paola Sapienza
Northwestern Kellogg
Disagree
4
Bio/Vote History
These assets classes are complex, their valuation is more difficult, they are illiquid and they require greater sophistication
Seru
Amit Seru
Stanford GSB
Agree
7
Bio/Vote History
Stambaugh
Robert Stambaugh
UPenn Wharton
Uncertain
7
Bio/Vote History
Uncertain: empirically gauging risk characteristics of private is more difficult, and thus diversification benefits are unclear. I'm not sure if private offers exposure to unique systematic risks, or if it just scales up or down risk exposures already available within public.
Starks
Laura Starks
UT Austin McCombs
Uncertain
6
Bio/Vote History
It depends on the quality of the assets available.
Stein
Jeremy Stein
Harvard
Uncertain
5
Bio/Vote History
Stroebel
Johannes Stroebel
NYU Stern
Agree
4
Bio/Vote History
Titman
Sheridan Titman
UT Austin McCombs
Disagree
9
Bio/Vote History
The best PE deals are not offered to retail investors, the fees are high and retail investors can’t evaluate the offers.
Van Nieuwerburgh
Stijn Van Nieuwerburgh
Columbia Business School
Disagree
6
Bio/Vote History
Average PE and PC fund does not generate positive risk-adjusted profits. Also illiquid which makes asset decumulation and rebalncing difficult.
-see background information here
Whited
Toni Whited
UMich Ross School
Disagree
1
Bio/Vote History