An annual December spending surge on parties, gift-giving and personal travel delivers net social benefits.
Responses
© 2025. Kent A. Clark Center for Global Markets.
14%
12%
0%
10%
14%
36%
14%
Responses weighted by each expert's confidence
© 2025. Kent A. Clark Center for Global Markets.
0%
12%
14%
42%
32%
Participant |
University |
Vote |
Confidence |
Bio/Vote History |
---|---|---|---|---|
![]() Daron Acemoglu |
MIT | Did Not Answer | Bio/Vote History | |
|
||||
![]() Alberto Alesina |
Harvard | Did Not Answer | Bio/Vote History | |
|
||||
![]() Joseph Altonji |
Yale | Did Not Answer | Bio/Vote History | |
|
||||
![]() Alan Auerbach |
Berkeley | Bio/Vote History | ||
|
||||
![]() David Autor |
MIT | Bio/Vote History | ||
|
||||
![]() Katherine Baicker |
University of Chicago | Bio/Vote History | ||
|
||||
![]() Abhijit Banerjee |
MIT | Bio/Vote History | ||
|
||||
![]() Marianne Bertrand |
Chicago | Bio/Vote History | ||
|
||||
![]() Markus Brunnermeier |
Princeton | Bio/Vote History | ||
|
||||
![]() Raj Chetty |
Harvard | Did Not Answer | Bio/Vote History | |
|
||||
![]() Judith Chevalier |
Yale | Bio/Vote History | ||
Contributes to the obesity epidemic for sure.
|
||||
![]() David Cutler |
Harvard | Bio/Vote History | ||
|
||||
![]() Angus Deaton |
Princeton | Bio/Vote History | ||
|
||||
![]() Darrell Duffie |
Stanford | Bio/Vote History | ||
|
||||
![]() Aaron Edlin |
Berkeley | Bio/Vote History | ||
There is a difference between saying the holiday season confers net social benefits and that all the spending does.
|
||||
![]() Barry Eichengreen |
Berkeley | Bio/Vote History | ||
|
||||
![]() Liran Einav |
Stanford | Bio/Vote History | ||
|
||||
![]() Ray Fair |
Yale | Bio/Vote History | ||
|
||||
![]() Amy Finkelstein |
MIT | Did Not Answer | Bio/Vote History | |
|
||||
![]() Pinelopi Goldberg |
Yale | Bio/Vote History | ||
|
||||
![]() Austan Goolsbee |
Chicago | Bio/Vote History | ||
Don't be an econo/supervillain
|
||||
![]() Michael Greenstone |
University of Chicago | Bio/Vote History | ||
who could be against the holiday season?........perhaps only the grinch!
|
||||
Robert Hall |
Stanford | Bio/Vote History | ||
Definitely for gifts. Doing a lot shopping at the same time is efficient. But congestion is a problem for travel and parties.
|
||||
![]() Oliver Hart |
Harvard | Bio/Vote History | ||
There seems to be a social need for public celebrations and gifts. But some are forced to participate.The net benefit is unclear.
|
||||
![]() Bengt Holmström |
MIT | Bio/Vote History | ||
|
||||
![]() Caroline Hoxby |
Stanford | Bio/Vote History | ||
The holidays may make us more altruistic, mindful of social good. I believe this, actually, but gifts/travel/spending do not seem essential
|
||||
![]() Hilary Hoynes |
Berkeley | Bio/Vote History | ||
|
||||
![]() Kenneth Judd |
Stanford | Bio/Vote History | ||
Signaling effects, each trying to be the best giver, create waste. Most actions are freely chosen. Net effect is likely positive.
|
||||
![]() Steven Kaplan |
Chicago Booth | Bio/Vote History | ||
|
||||
![]() Anil Kashyap |
Chicago Booth | Bio/Vote History | ||
No obvious failures of the welfare theorems, people have leisure complementarities and some prices are actually lower for shoppers
-see background information here |
||||
![]() Pete Klenow |
Stanford | Bio/Vote History | ||
By revealed preference, not for Keynesian reasons.
|
||||
![]() Jonathan Levin |
Stanford | Bio/Vote History | ||
|
||||
![]() Eric Maskin |
Harvard | Bio/Vote History | ||
It would be Scrooge-like to suggest otherwise.
|
||||
![]() William Nordhaus |
Yale | Bio/Vote History | ||
|
||||
![]() Emmanuel Saez |
Berkeley | Bio/Vote History | ||
|
||||
![]() Larry Samuelson |
Yale | Bio/Vote History | ||
Despite curmudgeonly economics articles, the revealed preference is that people derive gains from these activities.
|
||||
![]() José Scheinkman |
Columbia University | Did Not Answer | Bio/Vote History | |
|
||||
![]() Richard Schmalensee |
MIT | Bio/Vote History | ||
Compared to no concentration? Externalities of both signs; who knows the net?
|
||||
![]() Carl Shapiro |
Berkeley | Bio/Vote History | ||
Don't let an overly narrow view of benefits and costs ruin your holiday cheer.
|
||||
![]() Robert Shimer |
University of Chicago | Bio/Vote History | ||
There is social value to coordinating activities where there are complementarities. Arguably this is one of them.
|
||||
![]() Richard Thaler |
Chicago Booth | Bio/Vote History | ||
|
||||
![]() Christopher Udry |
Northwestern | Bio/Vote History | ||
Lots of gain from coordinated consumption... but with a great deal of inequality in the distribution of benefits
|