US

Christmas Spending

An annual December spending surge on parties, gift-giving and personal travel delivers net social benefits.

Responses weighted by each expert's confidence

Participant University Vote Confidence Bio/Vote History
Acemoglu
Daron Acemoglu
MIT Did Not Answer Bio/Vote History
Alesina
Alberto Alesina
Harvard Did Not Answer Bio/Vote History
Altonji
Joseph Altonji
Yale Did Not Answer Bio/Vote History
Auerbach
Alan Auerbach
Berkeley
Uncertain
3
Bio/Vote History
Autor
David Autor
MIT
No Opinion
Bio/Vote History
Baicker
Katherine Baicker
University of Chicago
Uncertain
3
Bio/Vote History
Banerjee
Abhijit Banerjee
MIT
Agree
7
Bio/Vote History
Bertrand
Marianne Bertrand
Chicago
Agree
4
Bio/Vote History
Brunnermeier
Markus Brunnermeier
Princeton
No Opinion
Bio/Vote History
Chetty
Raj Chetty
Harvard Did Not Answer Bio/Vote History
Chevalier
Judith Chevalier
Yale
Disagree
2
Bio/Vote History
Contributes to the obesity epidemic for sure.
Cutler
David Cutler
Harvard
Agree
7
Bio/Vote History
Deaton
Angus Deaton
Princeton
Strongly Agree
10
Bio/Vote History
Duffie
Darrell Duffie
Stanford
No Opinion
Bio/Vote History
Edlin
Aaron Edlin
Berkeley
Disagree
7
Bio/Vote History
There is a difference between saying the holiday season confers net social benefits and that all the spending does.
Eichengreen
Barry Eichengreen
Berkeley
No Opinion
Bio/Vote History
Einav
Liran Einav
Stanford
Agree
5
Bio/Vote History
Fair
Ray Fair
Yale
Agree
5
Bio/Vote History
Finkelstein
Amy Finkelstein
MIT Did Not Answer Bio/Vote History
Goldberg
Pinelopi Goldberg
Yale
Disagree
5
Bio/Vote History
Goolsbee
Austan Goolsbee
Chicago
Agree
1
Bio/Vote History
Don't be an econo/supervillain
Greenstone
Michael Greenstone
University of Chicago
Strongly Agree
10
Bio/Vote History
who could be against the holiday season?........perhaps only the grinch!
Hall
Robert Hall
Stanford
Agree
7
Bio/Vote History
Definitely for gifts. Doing a lot shopping at the same time is efficient. But congestion is a problem for travel and parties.
Hart
Oliver Hart
Harvard
Uncertain
5
Bio/Vote History
There seems to be a social need for public celebrations and gifts. But some are forced to participate.The net benefit is unclear.
Holmström
Bengt Holmström
MIT
Agree
6
Bio/Vote History
Hoxby
Caroline Hoxby
Stanford
Disagree
6
Bio/Vote History
The holidays may make us more altruistic, mindful of social good. I believe this, actually, but gifts/travel/spending do not seem essential
Hoynes
Hilary Hoynes
Berkeley
Agree
3
Bio/Vote History
Judd
Kenneth Judd
Stanford
Agree
3
Bio/Vote History
Signaling effects, each trying to be the best giver, create waste. Most actions are freely chosen. Net effect is likely positive.
Kaplan
Steven Kaplan
Chicago Booth
Agree
2
Bio/Vote History
Kashyap
Anil Kashyap
Chicago Booth
Agree
7
Bio/Vote History
No obvious failures of the welfare theorems, people have leisure complementarities and some prices are actually lower for shoppers
-see background information here
Klenow
Pete Klenow
Stanford
Agree
5
Bio/Vote History
By revealed preference, not for Keynesian reasons.
Levin
Jonathan Levin
Stanford
Strongly Agree
7
Bio/Vote History
Maskin
Eric Maskin
Harvard
Agree
7
Bio/Vote History
It would be Scrooge-like to suggest otherwise.
Nordhaus
William Nordhaus
Yale
Uncertain
1
Bio/Vote History
Saez
Emmanuel Saez
Berkeley
Uncertain
6
Bio/Vote History
Samuelson
Larry Samuelson
Yale
Strongly Agree
10
Bio/Vote History
Despite curmudgeonly economics articles, the revealed preference is that people derive gains from these activities.
Scheinkman
José Scheinkman
Columbia University Did Not Answer Bio/Vote History
Schmalensee
Richard Schmalensee
MIT
Uncertain
6
Bio/Vote History
Compared to no concentration? Externalities of both signs; who knows the net?
Shapiro
Carl Shapiro
Berkeley
Strongly Agree
8
Bio/Vote History
Don't let an overly narrow view of benefits and costs ruin your holiday cheer.
Shimer
Robert Shimer
University of Chicago
Agree
2
Bio/Vote History
There is social value to coordinating activities where there are complementarities. Arguably this is one of them.
Thaler
Richard Thaler
Chicago Booth
No Opinion
Bio/Vote History
Udry
Christopher Udry
Northwestern
Strongly Agree
10
Bio/Vote History
Lots of gain from coordinated consumption... but with a great deal of inequality in the distribution of benefits