An annual December spending surge on parties, gift-giving and personal travel delivers net social benefits.
Responses
Responses weighted by each expert's confidence
Participant | University | Vote | Confidence | Bio/Vote History |
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Daron Acemoglu |
MIT | Did Not Answer | Bio/Vote History | |
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Alberto Alesina |
Harvard | Did Not Answer | Bio/Vote History | |
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Joseph Altonji |
Yale | Did Not Answer | Bio/Vote History | |
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Alan Auerbach |
Berkeley | Bio/Vote History | ||
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David Autor |
MIT | Bio/Vote History | ||
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Katherine Baicker |
University of Chicago | Bio/Vote History | ||
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Abhijit Banerjee |
MIT | Bio/Vote History | ||
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Marianne Bertrand |
Chicago | Bio/Vote History | ||
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Markus Brunnermeier |
Princeton | Bio/Vote History | ||
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Raj Chetty |
Harvard | Did Not Answer | Bio/Vote History | |
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Judith Chevalier |
Yale | Bio/Vote History | ||
Contributes to the obesity epidemic for sure.
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David Cutler |
Harvard | Bio/Vote History | ||
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Angus Deaton |
Princeton | Bio/Vote History | ||
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Darrell Duffie |
Stanford | Bio/Vote History | ||
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Aaron Edlin |
Berkeley | Bio/Vote History | ||
There is a difference between saying the holiday season confers net social benefits and that all the spending does.
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Barry Eichengreen |
Berkeley | Bio/Vote History | ||
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Liran Einav |
Stanford | Bio/Vote History | ||
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Ray Fair |
Yale | Bio/Vote History | ||
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Amy Finkelstein |
MIT | Did Not Answer | Bio/Vote History | |
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Pinelopi Goldberg |
Yale | Bio/Vote History | ||
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Austan Goolsbee |
Chicago | Bio/Vote History | ||
Don't be an econo/supervillain
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Michael Greenstone |
University of Chicago | Bio/Vote History | ||
who could be against the holiday season?........perhaps only the grinch!
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Robert Hall |
Stanford | Bio/Vote History | ||
Definitely for gifts. Doing a lot shopping at the same time is efficient. But congestion is a problem for travel and parties.
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Oliver Hart |
Harvard | Bio/Vote History | ||
There seems to be a social need for public celebrations and gifts. But some are forced to participate.The net benefit is unclear.
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Bengt Holmström |
MIT | Bio/Vote History | ||
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Caroline Hoxby |
Stanford | Bio/Vote History | ||
The holidays may make us more altruistic, mindful of social good. I believe this, actually, but gifts/travel/spending do not seem essential
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Hilary Hoynes |
Berkeley | Bio/Vote History | ||
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Kenneth Judd |
Stanford | Bio/Vote History | ||
Signaling effects, each trying to be the best giver, create waste. Most actions are freely chosen. Net effect is likely positive.
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Steven Kaplan |
Chicago Booth | Bio/Vote History | ||
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Anil Kashyap |
Chicago Booth | Bio/Vote History | ||
No obvious failures of the welfare theorems, people have leisure complementarities and some prices are actually lower for shoppers
-see background information here |
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Pete Klenow |
Stanford | Bio/Vote History | ||
By revealed preference, not for Keynesian reasons.
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Jonathan Levin |
Stanford | Bio/Vote History | ||
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Eric Maskin |
Harvard | Bio/Vote History | ||
It would be Scrooge-like to suggest otherwise.
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William Nordhaus |
Yale | Bio/Vote History | ||
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Emmanuel Saez |
Berkeley | Bio/Vote History | ||
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Larry Samuelson |
Yale | Bio/Vote History | ||
Despite curmudgeonly economics articles, the revealed preference is that people derive gains from these activities.
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José Scheinkman |
Columbia University | Did Not Answer | Bio/Vote History | |
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Richard Schmalensee |
MIT | Bio/Vote History | ||
Compared to no concentration? Externalities of both signs; who knows the net?
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Carl Shapiro |
Berkeley | Bio/Vote History | ||
Don't let an overly narrow view of benefits and costs ruin your holiday cheer.
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Robert Shimer |
University of Chicago | Bio/Vote History | ||
There is social value to coordinating activities where there are complementarities. Arguably this is one of them.
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Richard Thaler |
Chicago Booth | Bio/Vote History | ||
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Christopher Udry |
Northwestern | Bio/Vote History | ||
Lots of gain from coordinated consumption... but with a great deal of inequality in the distribution of benefits
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