Question A:
Trade with China makes most Americans better off because, among other advantages, they can buy goods that are made or assembled more cheaply in China.
Responses
© 2025. Kent A. Clark Center for Global Markets.
15%
0%
0%
0%
0%
40%
45%
Responses weighted by each expert's confidence
© 2025. Kent A. Clark Center for Global Markets.
0%
0%
0%
41%
59%
Question B:
Some Americans who work in the production of competing goods, such as clothing and furniture, are made worse off by trade with China.
Responses
© 2025. Kent A. Clark Center for Global Markets.
15%
0%
0%
0%
3%
50%
33%
Responses weighted by each expert's confidence
© 2025. Kent A. Clark Center for Global Markets.
0%
0%
4%
51%
45%
Question A Participant Responses
Question B Participant Responses
Participant |
University |
Vote |
Confidence |
Bio/Vote History |
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 Daron Acemoglu |
MIT | Bio/Vote History | ||
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 Alberto Alesina |
Harvard | Did Not Answer | Bio/Vote History | |
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 Joseph Altonji |
Yale | Bio/Vote History | ||
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 Alan Auerbach |
Berkeley | Bio/Vote History | ||
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 David Autor |
MIT | Bio/Vote History | ||
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Please see my paper with David Dorn and Gordon Hanson, "The China Syndrome: Local Labor Market Impacts of Import Competition in the U.S."
-see background information here |
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 Katherine Baicker |
University of Chicago | Bio/Vote History | ||
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 Marianne Bertrand |
Chicago | Bio/Vote History | ||
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 Raj Chetty |
Harvard | Did Not Answer | Bio/Vote History | |
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 Judith Chevalier |
Yale | Bio/Vote History | ||
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 Janet Currie |
Princeton | Bio/Vote History | ||
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 David Cutler |
Harvard | Bio/Vote History | ||
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 Angus Deaton |
Princeton | Bio/Vote History | ||
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 Darrell Duffie |
Stanford | Bio/Vote History | ||
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 Aaron Edlin |
Berkeley | Bio/Vote History | ||
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Someone loses from almost anything.
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 Barry Eichengreen |
Berkeley | Bio/Vote History | ||
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 Ray Fair |
Yale | Bio/Vote History | ||
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 Pinelopi Goldberg |
Yale | Bio/Vote History | ||
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 Claudia Goldin |
Harvard | Bio/Vote History | ||
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 Austan Goolsbee |
Chicago | Bio/Vote History | ||
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 Michael Greenstone |
University of Chicago | Bio/Vote History | ||
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 Robert Hall |
Stanford | Bio/Vote History | ||
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 Bengt Holmström |
MIT | Bio/Vote History | ||
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 Caroline Hoxby |
Stanford | Bio/Vote History | ||
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This may be true but it depends on how much they benefit from cheaper goods and what their costs of adjusting to new jobs is.
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 Kenneth Judd |
Stanford | Bio/Vote History | ||
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While they may lose due to trade with China, the US free trade policies are beneficial to them on average.
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 Anil Kashyap |
Chicago Booth | Bio/Vote History | ||
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Over the medium run there should be some adjustment and if China were not in the picture some other country probably would be.
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 Pete Klenow |
Stanford | Bio/Vote History | ||
 Edward Lazear |
Stanford | Bio/Vote History | ||
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Although there are overall benefits, some, especially with specific skills, are hurt because they cannot transition costlessly to new jobs.
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 Jonathan Levin |
Stanford | Did Not Answer | Bio/Vote History | |
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 Eric Maskin |
Harvard | Did Not Answer | Bio/Vote History | |
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 William Nordhaus |
Yale | Bio/Vote History | ||
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 Maurice Obstfeld |
Berkeley | Bio/Vote History | ||
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 Emmanuel Saez |
Berkeley | Bio/Vote History | ||
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 José Scheinkman |
Columbia University | Bio/Vote History | ||
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 Richard Schmalensee |
MIT | Bio/Vote History | ||
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 Hyun Song Shin |
Princeton | Bio/Vote History | ||
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 James Stock |
Harvard | Did Not Answer | Bio/Vote History | |
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 Nancy Stokey |
University of Chicago | Bio/Vote History | ||
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 Richard Thaler |
Chicago Booth | Bio/Vote History | ||
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 Christopher Udry |
Northwestern | Bio/Vote History | ||
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Both of these are vital truths about trade & illustrate why we need both free trade & public support for those who are hurt.
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 Luigi Zingales |
Chicago Booth | Did Not Answer | Bio/Vote History | |
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