A tax on the carbon content of fuels would be a less expensive way to reduce carbon-dioxide emissions than would a collection of policies such as “corporate average fuel economy” requirements for automobiles.
Responses
Responses weighted by each expert's confidence
Participant | University | Vote | Confidence | Bio/Vote History |
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Daron Acemoglu |
MIT | Bio/Vote History | ||
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Alberto Alesina |
Harvard | Bio/Vote History | ||
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Joseph Altonji |
Yale | Bio/Vote History | ||
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Alan Auerbach |
Berkeley | Bio/Vote History | ||
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David Autor |
MIT | Bio/Vote History | ||
See Chris Knittel's forthcoming paper in Journal of Economic Perspectives on this topic: Reducing Petroleum Consumption from Transportation
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Katherine Baicker |
University of Chicago | Bio/Vote History | ||
Taxing the externality would be much more efficient than CAFE - but the challenge is getting the tax rate right
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Marianne Bertrand |
Chicago | Bio/Vote History | ||
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Raj Chetty |
Harvard | Bio/Vote History | ||
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Judith Chevalier |
Yale | Bio/Vote History | ||
That is not to suggest that a carbon cap and trade program is necessarily worse than a tax. But CAFE worse.
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Janet Currie |
Princeton | Bio/Vote History | ||
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David Cutler |
Harvard | Bio/Vote History | ||
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Angus Deaton |
Princeton | Bio/Vote History | ||
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Darrell Duffie |
Stanford | Bio/Vote History | ||
The indirect route of fleet fuel standards causes distortions in the auto industry and fails to capture other sources of C02 emissions.
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Aaron Edlin |
Berkeley | Bio/Vote History | ||
Always better to be direct. So long as administration of a fuel tax is as easy as other indirect regulation it is better.
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Barry Eichengreen |
Berkeley | Bio/Vote History | ||
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Ray Fair |
Yale | Bio/Vote History | ||
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Pinelopi Goldberg |
Yale | Bio/Vote History | ||
Too vague... It is not clear how this tax would be implemented.
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Claudia Goldin |
Harvard | Bio/Vote History | ||
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Austan Goolsbee |
Chicago | Bio/Vote History | ||
the one is specifically aimed at carbon so seems almost tautological. not necess true for other considerations like natl security etc
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Michael Greenstone |
University of Chicago | Bio/Vote History | ||
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Robert Hall |
Stanford | Bio/Vote History | ||
totally basic economics!
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Bengt Holmström |
MIT | Bio/Vote History | ||
If social cost sensitive to total emissions or hard to measure, quantity controls may be better than tax.
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Caroline Hoxby |
Stanford | Did Not Answer | Bio/Vote History | |
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Kenneth Judd |
Stanford | Bio/Vote History | ||
If the objective is to reduce GHGs then the best policy is to tax GHG emissions. CAFE standards will initially do little.
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Anil Kashyap |
Chicago Booth | Bio/Vote History | ||
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Pete Klenow |
Stanford | Bio/Vote History | ||
Would help equalize marginal cost across sources. Revenue can keep marginal tax rates on work, saving lower than otherwise.
-see background information here |
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Edward Lazear |
Stanford | Bio/Vote History | ||
This compares two ineffective approaches. The magnitude of this problem is so great that no sufficient carbon tax is feasible worldwide.
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Jonathan Levin |
Stanford | Bio/Vote History | ||
In principle, yes. In practice, would depend a huge amount on the design of the tax vs other policies, so hard to give a blanket answer.
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William Nordhaus |
Yale | Bio/Vote History | ||
Many studies on this, see RfF on national energy policies, Dec 2010 as example.
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Maurice Obstfeld |
Berkeley | Bio/Vote History | ||
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Cecilia Rouse |
Princeton | Bio/Vote History | ||
I believe this to be the case in theory although in practice may be a more effective way to achieve environmental objectives.
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Emmanuel Saez |
Berkeley | Bio/Vote History | ||
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José Scheinkman |
Columbia University | Bio/Vote History | ||
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Richard Schmalensee |
MIT | Bio/Vote History | ||
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Hyun Song Shin |
Princeton | Bio/Vote History | ||
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James Stock |
Harvard | Bio/Vote History | ||
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Nancy Stokey |
University of Chicago | Bio/Vote History | ||
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Richard Thaler |
Chicago Booth | Bio/Vote History | ||
Since a carbon tax is politically infeasible how about hiking the gas tax by a dollar and then index it. We now have a negative carbon tax.
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Christopher Udry |
Northwestern | Bio/Vote History | ||
This is as clear as economics gets; provides incentives to find minimally costly ways to reduce emissions.
-see background information here |
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Luigi Zingales |
Chicago Booth | Bio/Vote History | ||
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