Clark Center Forum

About the Clark Center Forum

The Forum for the Kent A. Clark Center for Global Markets is home to the European, Finance, and US Economic Experts Panels as well as a repository of thoughtful, current, and reliable information regarding topics of the day.
US

Tax Reform

Question A:

Eliminating tax deductions for non-investment personal interest expenses (e.g., on mortgages), with reductions in personal tax rates that are both budget neutral and keep the burden of taxes by income group the same, would lead to more efficient financing decisions by individuals.

Responses

© 2025. Kent A. Clark Center for Global Markets.
5%
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55%
30%
Question B:

Reducing the deductibility of interest expenses for non-financial businesses to equalize the overall tax cost of debt and equity financing, while using the extra revenue to reduce personal and corporate tax rates in a budget neutral fashion that also keeps the burden of taxes the same, would lead to more efficient financing decisions by firms.

Responses

© 2025. Kent A. Clark Center for Global Markets.
5%
10%
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20%
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25%
 
US

Stock Prices

This week’s IGM Economic Experts Panel poll statement:

Unless they have inside information, very few investors, if any, can consistently make accurate predictions about whether the price of an individual stock will rise or fall on a given day.

Plausible expectations of future dividends, discounted using a plausible risk-adjusted interest rate, explain well the level of stock prices for recently listed internet businesses in 1999. 
US

Education

This week’s IGM Economic Experts Panel poll statement:

Public school students would receive a higher quality education if they all had the option of taking the government money (local, state, federal) currently being spent on their own education and turning that money into vouchers that they could use towards covering the costs of any private school or public school of their choice (e.g. charter schools). 
Business Class

Nobels Give Econometrics Pioneers Their Due

Thomas J. Sargent and Christopher A. Sims richly deserve the Nobel Memorial Prize in Economic Sciences they were awarded this week for their seminal work in the fields of macroeconomics and time series econometrics. I was fortunate to have a front-row seat to observe the development of their path-breaking research. Read article> 
Miscellaneous

Lars Hansen on the Sargent and Sims Nobel Prize

The University of Chicago faculty congratulate our former colleague Tom Sargent and our good friend Chris Sims for their well-deserved Nobel Prize “for their empirical research on cause and effect in the macroeconomy”. Nobody is better positioned than Lars Hansen to explain the basis for the award and its significance. Lars has published 3 books […] 

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