By Topic

Europe

‘Getting Brexit Done’

This week’s IGM European Economic Experts Panel statements: A) Following the UK election result, the certainty that the country is going to leave the European Union will provide a substantial short-term boost to the UK economy. B) Given that the transition period currently expires at the end of 2020, there is still a considerable risk that the UK will leave the European Union without a trade agreement. C) Leaving the European Union without a trade agreement would have a large negative impact on the UK economy. 
US

After Brexit

This week's US Economic Experts Panel statements: A) The UK economy is likely to be at least several percentage points smaller in 2030 than it would have been if the country had remained in the European Union. B) The aggregate economy of the 27 countries still in the EU is likely to be at least several percentage points smaller in 2030 than if the UK had not left. 
Europe

After Brexit

This week's European Economic Experts Panel statements: A) The UK economy is likely to be at least several percentage points smaller in 2030 than it would have been if the country had remained in the European Union. B) The aggregate economy of the 27 countries still in the EU is likely to be at least several percentage points smaller in 2030 than if the UK had not left. 
US

Border Adjustment Tax

This week’s IGM Economic Experts Panel statements: A) Implementing a "destination based cash flow tax (including border adjustment)" of the type advocated by Speaker Ryan would substantially reduce the US trade deficit within the next few years. B) Implementing a "destination based cash flow tax (including border adjustment)" of the type advocated by Speaker Ryan would substantially raise prices for US consumers. 
US

Brexit, the UK Economy and US-UK Trade

This week’s IGM Economic Experts Panel statements: A) Following the UK election result, the certainty that the country is going to leave the European Union will provide a substantial short-term boost to the UK economy. B) The near certainty that the UK will leave the European Union's customs union and single market in 2020 offers a sizeable export market opportunity for American business. 
US

Buy American

This week’s IGM Economic Experts Panel poll statement: Federal mandates that government purchases should be “buy American” unless there are exceptional circumstances, such as in the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act of 2009, have a significant positive impact on U.S. manufacturing employment. 
Europe

China-Europe Trade

This week's IGM European Economic Experts Panel Statements: A) Trade with China makes most Europeans better off because, among other advantages, they can buy goods that are made or assembled more cheaply in China. B) Some Europeans who work in the production of competing goods, such as clothing and furniture, are made worse off by trade with China. C) If the EU followed the new US steel tariffs by imposing similar EU tariffs on steel from China, it would improve Europeans’ welfare. 
US

China-US Trade

This week's IGM Economic Experts Panel statements: A) Trade with China makes most Americans better off because, among other advantages, they can buy goods that are made or assembled more cheaply in China. B) Some Americans who work in the production of competing goods, such as clothing and furniture, are made worse off by trade with China.