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FT-Booth US Macroeconomists Survey

FTxBooth: Potential Effects of Trump Economic Policies

This installment of the FTxBooth US Macroeconomists Survey discusses the potential effects of President Trump’s economic policies as well as the consequences of federal data gathering and management. The summary results are below and you can read the Financial Times article here, subscription required. View the results of this survey>> For social media: Please use […] 
On Global Markets

The Uncertainty Machine

The tariff roller coaster is going and taking even wilder turns. In the last week the United States imposed the previously delayed by one month promised 25% tariffs on trade with Mexico and Canada on March 4th. On March 5th, following intense lobbying by the big automakers, the automotive sector secured a further one-month delay. […] 
On Global Markets

German Immigration

German voters go to the polls this week following the collapse of the, sometimes chaotic, three-way coalition which has run the Federal government since late 2021. There is plenty for the electorate to consider. The economy is stuck in its first two-year recession since the early 2000s. More broadly, economic performance has been miserable since […] 
On Global Markets

Coal, AI & Jevons

Whilst he may have died almost a century and a half ago, 2025 has seen a sudden revival of interest in William Stanley Jevons. Jevons, born way back in 1835, was one of the great economists of the nineteenth century. And while he may not have quite the enduring fame of some of his contemporaries, […] 
On Global Markets

Climate and Energy

Covering a Trump administration can be tricky at times, especially for those writing a weekly piece. Your columnist began writing this week’s note on Friday. In the 72 or so hours that followed the President: said he would announce ‘reciprocal tariffs’ in the coming week, announced 25% tariffs on steel and aluminum imports would be […] 
On Global Markets

Europe’s Trade Dilemma

Europe’s economy is stuck in a rut. The latest figures, released this week, show Eurozone GDP flat in the fourth quarter and growth across the European Union as a whole up by just 0.1%. Nothing captures the gloom quite as well as Eurostat, the official statistics body, describing the Eurozone’s poor performance with the headline […] 
On Global Markets

Disasters & Insurance

American cities have a long history when it comes to fire. As the historian Daniel Immerwahr noted in a fascinating and beautifully written (and also open access) journal paper last year, the great circus master P. T. Barnum listed five occasions in his memoirs when his circus, museum or home was destroyed by a blaze. […] 
On Global Markets

A Private Party?

It can be all too easy for both investors and those writing about finance and economics to get too caught up in the day-by-day and week-by-week moves of financial markets. The drama of sudden gyrations, rallies, and declines is sometimes irresistible and there is always a risk that too much significance will be attached to […]